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On This Day - 12 FEBRUARY 2009 India can save the US
In this issue:
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He further quotes Shekhar Gupta, editor of The Indian Express - "All you need to do is grant visas to two million Indians, Chinese and Koreans. We will buy up all the subprime homes. We will work 18 hours a day to pay for them. We will immediately improve your savings rate - no Indian bank today has more than 2 percent nonperforming loans because not paying your mortgage is considered shameful here. And we will start new companies to create our own jobs and jobs for more Americans."
A wonderful mantra for survival indeed! But whether it will find favour within the US is highly doubtful given Obama’s rhetoric regarding saving American jobs by putting restrictions on offshoring. Friedman has indeed long believed that the developed world cannot maintain or improve productivity by closing their gates to immigration and offshoring. In viewing the American immigration laws as too restrictive and damaging to economic output, he said a few years ago - "It is pure idiocy that Congress will not open our borders - as wide as possible - to attract and keep the world's first-round intellectual draft choices in an age when everyone increasingly has the same innovation tools and the key differentiator is human talent." Friedman argues against opponents of free trade that by exporting low-skill and low-wage jobs to foreign countries, more advanced and higher-skilled jobs will be freed up and made available for those displaced by the outsourcing. And so, he writes in his latest article - "Dear America, please remember how you got to be the wealthiest country in history. It wasn’t through protectionism, or state-owned banks or fearing free trade. No, the formula was very simple: build this really flexible, really open economy, tolerate creative destruction so dead capital is quickly redeployed to better ideas and companies, pour into it the most diverse, smart and energetic immigrants from every corner of the world and then stir and repeat, stir and repeat, stir and repeat, stir and repeat." We Indians love you, Thomas!
Nevertheless, he believes that the financial world has now discovered the real wealth out of the superficial wealth. With the market capitalisation of US companies coming down from US$ 18 trillion to nearly US$ 9 trillion, the dividend yield on the same has improved from 1% to 3% and they are currently valued at 1.5 times assets as against 3 times assets a couple of years back.
However, the idea of introducing a uniform face value system is not something new and was something that was being considered for over eight years now. Obviously nothing much came out of it. In fact, SEBI earlier had announced that companies would now have to declare dividend on per share basis and not on the face value. However, this proved easier said than done due to legal complications. We really wonder whether this latest move of SEBI will be of any help. Are investors really such a confused lot? We think not.
Berkshire’s stock price has declined 36% in the past year and its profits have fallen in four consecutive quarters. But Buffett stands undeterred. In fact, he is also reportedly investing his own money into US stocks as prices decline amid the worst financial crisis in 75 years. Having said that, his latest deals seem to have yielded even more favourable terms as Buffett agreed to buy preferred shares in companies that would pay him dividends ranging from 12% to 15%. Are you still surprised at his reticence?
But have we really, when it comes to matters of money? The greed for money now is the same as hundreds of years back. The root of the current recession is more of less the same as the Great Depression...greed for money, and more of it! So can we say that the species called ‘man’ has evolved over time in the matters of money? Probably not!
IIP for December 2008 fell by 2% as against a growth of 8.6% during December 2007, primarily due to the manufacturing sector registering a negative growth of 2.5% in December 2008 as against a rise of 8.6% last year. The European markets have also opened in the negative.
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