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Budget 2006-07: Auto Ancillaries


The Indian auto ancillary is at the cusp of new growth trajectory. Though currently a miniscule contributor to the global US $ 1 trillion industry, over the past few years, the Indian players have developed and displayed their strengths in the technical and high-end activities. With cost arbitrage and technological advantages, the industry is all set to grow its revenues to US$ 5 bn by FY08, a five-fold rise from the current levels. However, competition from countries like China might disrupt the industry growth in the long run. Read more

 Budget Measures


  • Peak custom duty reduced from 15% to 12.5%
  • Excise duty on cars having engine capacity upto 1,200 cc (petrol based engines) and 1,500 cc (diesel based engines) and length of the car upto 4,000 mm reduced from 24% to 16%.
  • Continued thrust on road infrastructure
  • Custom duty on alloy steel and non-ferrous (primary and secondary) metals reduced from 10% to 7.5%

     Budget Impact


  • Being an ancillary, the performance of the industry is closely linked to the automobile industry. While the positive announcements for the automobile industry should augur well for auto ancillary players, they would also stand to benefit to a certain extent in terms of input costs with customs duty on certain steel products having been brought down.


     Sector Outlook


  • Though the budget did not spring any surprises for the sector directly, we remain positive on the sector from a long-term perspective. Considering the trends in the global automobile industry, we believe that there exists a huge potential for Indian auto ancillary players going forward. Intensified competition in the global arena would keep margins of auto manufacturers under pressure. Thus, we expect Indian players to benefit from the outsourcing opportunities available, considering India's competitive edge in technical and high skilled jobs as compared to other low cost countries like China.

  • The reduction in customs duties on certain key inputs, however, is a welcome move. This will ensure that the Indian auto ancillary industry remains cost competitive vis-à-vis major rivals, which will aid in achieving the export target of US$ 5 bn by 2008 (US$ 1.4 bn now). However, any slowdown in the Indian auto industry will hurt the prospects of the companies that rely primarily on the domestic demand.


     Industry Wish List


    Key pre-budget memorandum for 2006-07 from Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India (ACMA) is as follows:

  • Setting up SEZs in areas around automotive manufacturing hubs.

  • Custom duty on auto components to be maintained at current levels of 15%, if not increased.

  • Reducing the differential customs duty between the auto component and the raw materials to around 10% to 15% from the current levels of 30% to 35%.

  • Excise duty concessions for all vehicles that have 90% or more of local components against the current policy of excise concessions to vehicle that are designed and developed by wholly owned Indian company.

  • Extending the 150% income tax deduction on R&D for a period of 10 years and making it applicable to R&D activities that are sub contracted.

  • Excise duty on small cars and two-wheelers to be reduced to 8% and for other cars to be reduced to 16%.


     Budget over the years


    Budget 2003-04 Budget 2004-05 Budget 2005-06

    Additional levy of a cess of 50 paise per liter of diesel and motor spirit, which will contribute Rs 26 bn and help in acceleration of highway development program.

    IT companies will continue to enjoy the benefits of 10A/10B benefits even after a change of management.

    Reduction in excise duty on cars from 32% to 24% and electric vehicles from 16% to 8%.

    Decrease in freight rate on iron and steel by around 5.3%.

    Duty on key inputs such as non-alloy steel to be reduced from 15% to 10%. Duty on alloy steel, copper, lead, zinc and base metals also reduced from 20% to 15%.

    Consortium of banks formed to ensure speedy conclusion of loan agreements and implementation of infrastructure projects.

    2% education cess on all taxes.

    Customs duty on lead cut to 5%.

    Excise duty on tyres, tubes and flaps reduced from 24% to 16%

    No change in excise duty on automobiles.

    Customs duty reduction on select capital goods and inverted duty structures (i.e., the duty on input costs being higher than the product itself) reduced from 15% to 5% or 10%. Customs duty on the basic plastic material reduced to 10%. Customs duty on selected petro-chemicals reduced from 10% to 5%.

    Customs duty on natural rubber maintained at 70%. But peak customs duty reduced from 20% to 15%.

    VAT implemented in majority of the states.

     

    Key Positives
  • Huge potential: - Global auto components market is worth over US$ 1 trillion and, considering India's market size, which is just 0.8% of the total market size, there exists tremendous growth opportunity for the domestic auto players to exploit. Having said that, the benefits will vary for Indian companies. We believe that players that have demonstrated their technical competence and have developed necessary scale are likely to benefit from the global outsourcing opportunities. To give an example, around 70% of the total exports are to original equipment manufacturers (OEM) or TIER-1 players as compared to around 35% in early 1990s.

  • More than cost arbitrage - Due to cost related pressures on global auto players and Tier-1 suppliers, a lot of them have started outsourcing components from low cost countries like India, China and some of the Latin American and ASEAN countries. However, the technical capabilities of the Indian players have given them the edge in high precision and critical activities. The industry, which exported components worth over US$ 1.4 bn in FY05, is also benefiting from strong domestic sales.

  • Learning from the MNCs - The entry of global players such as Ford, GM, Toyota and Honda into the Indian market has allowed the Indian manufacturers to work with these players on global production, quality and delivery systems. It has also helped the global players to see for themselves the evolution of many auto components manufacturers and they are therefore now entrusting them (Indian companies) with more work.

  • IT advantage - Thanks to the country's IT advantage, the industry is capable of becoming a full-fledged service provider (research, design, development, testing) to global OEMs and thus score over other low cost countries like China. This, combined with low cost quality manpower strengthens our stand in the global arena.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Lacking economies of scale - Despite being around 60 years old, the domestic auto industry is even behind countries like South Korea, Brazil and Mexico in terms of production and sales, thus depriving it the benefit of economies of scale. This makes it difficult for companies to invest extensively in R&D and development, a key competitive tool in the global market. Apart from this, the industry is highly fragmented, which also restricts the Indian players to develop scale (except for few players). Currently there are around 500 players (organised sector), which when compared to the total turnover of the industry indicates the fragmented nature of the same.

  • Competitive threats - Though the Indian players have demonstrated their technical competencies, countries like China can spring in surprises in the long run considering the fact that with global auto players increasing their presence in China, the next logical step would be to rise up the value chain (high end auto ancillaries).

  • Increasing FTA - The growing number of FTAs (Free Trade Agreements) that are being signed by India with Asean countries is likely to hurt the domestic players as they pay a relatively higher excise duty of around 25% as compared to 1%-10% being paid by their Asean counterparts.


    Budget Impact: Auto Ancillaries Sector Analysis for 2005-06 | Auto Ancillaries Sector Analysis for 2007-08
    Latest: Performance Of Auto Ancillaries Stocks | Auto Ancillaries Sector Report

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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs)
    AFFORDABLE ROBOTIC & AUTOMATION 523.3
    (-1.4%)
    AKAR TOOLS L 112.7
    (-2.0%)
    AMARA RAJA ENERGY & MOBILITY 1,101.3
    (-1.1%)
    AMIC FORGING LTD. 697.7
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    ASAHI INDIA 604.0
    (-0.5%)
    ASK AUTOMOTIVE LTD. 308.1
    (-0.1%)
    AUTO CORP. OF GOA 1,927.5
    (-4.6%)
    AUTOLINE INDUST. 123.8
    (-0.2%)
    AUTOMOTIVE AXLES 1,872.6
    (0.2%)
    AUTOMOTIVE STAMP 819.1
    (-0.1%)
    BANCO PRODUCTS 625.4
    (-0.7%)
    BHARAT GEARS 119.2
    (-0.8%)
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    BIMETAL BEARINGS 638.7
    (0.0%)
    BOMBAY CYCLE 1,526.9
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    BOSCH 29,279.7
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    CIE AUTOMOTIVE INDIA 486.1
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    DECCAN BEARINGS 58.9
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    DIVGI TORQTRANSFER 831.4
    (-0.2%)
    DOLFIN RUBBERS 232.2
    (7.7%)
    EL FORGE. 21.6
    (5.0%)
    ENDURANCE TECHNOLOGIES 1,962.1
    (-0.6%)
    EXIDE INDUSTRIES 455.6
    (-2.4%)
    FEDERAL - MOGUL G 371.1
    (-1.5%)
    FIEM INDUSTRIES 1,191.2
    (-1.7%)
    GABRIEL INDIA 378.6
    (8.2%)
    GKW. 2,513.0
    (0.5%)
    GNA AXLES 413.8
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    GS AUTO INT. 39.6
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    HAPPY FORGINGS LTD. 953.9
    (0.7%)
    HI-TECH GEARS 1,097.2
    (-3.4%)
    HIGH ENERGY 906.7
    (0.1%)
    HIM TEKNOFORGE 134.6
    (-2.7%)
    HIND HARDY SPICE 463.4
    (-3.9%)
    HIND.COMPOSI 421.7
    (-0.4%)
    INDIA NIPPON 709.9
    (-0.8%)
    INDO NATIONAL 707.7
    (-2.3%)
    IP RINGS 184.3
    (5.2%)
    IST 1,043.1
    (6.3%)
    JAINEX AAMCOL 148.0
    (0.2%)
    JAMNA AUTO 141.8
    (7.1%)
    JAY BHARAT MARUTI 120.1
    (-0.3%)
    JBM AUTO. 1,905.7
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    JTEKT INDIA 174.5
    (-2.6%)
    KRANTI INDUSTRIES 74.1
    (-0.4%)
    L.G.BALAKRISHNAN 1,302.5
    (-0.5%)
    LUMAX AUTO TECHNO 479.1
    (-0.1%)
    LUMAX IND 2,530.9
    (0.8%)
    MAH. SCOOTERS 7,914.4
    (0.1%)
    MAKS ENERGY SOLUTIONS 110.0
    (-99.8%)
    MENON BEARINGS 129.3
    (0.2%)
    MENON PISTON 93.8
    (-1.4%)
    MINDA CORPORATION 410.9
    (1.0%)
    MOTHERSON SUMI WIRING 69.6
    (0.0%)
    MUNJAL SHOWA 161.6
    (-1.0%)
    NDR AUTO COMPONENTS 846.5
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    NEW SWAN MULTITECH LTD. 73.0
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    NRB BEARINGS 312.2
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    NRB INDUSTRIAL 35.5
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    OMAX AUTOS 124.7
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    PAE 5.1
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    PANKAJ PIYUSH 114.6
    (5.0%)
    PATTECH FITWELL TUBE COMPONENTS LTD. 92.0
    (2.8%)
    PORWAL AUTO 60.3
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    PPAP AUTOMOTIVE 206.9
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    PRECISION CAMSHAFTS 211.3
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    PRECISION METALIKS 50.1
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    RAJKUMAR FORGE 107.9
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    RAMKRISHNA FORG 764.7
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    RANE ENGINES 376.1
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    RANE MADRAS 833.7
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    RASANDIK ENG. 92.9
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    REMSONS IND. 981.5
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    RICO AUTO 142.1
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    ROLEX RINGS 1,842.2
    (-1.5%)
    SAI MOH AUTO LINKS 25.8
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    SAL AUTOMOTIVE 536.1
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    SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON 130.8
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    SANDHAR TECHNOLOGIES 499.5
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    SCHAEFFLER INDIA 3,479.7
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    SCHRADER DUNCAN 459.3
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    SETCO AUTOMOTIVE 13.5
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    SHANTAI INDUSTRIES 36.0
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    SHIGAN QUANTUM 107.7
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    SHIVAM AUTOTECH 41.7
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    SIBAR AUTO 11.8
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    SIMMONDS MARSHALL 80.1
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    SINTERCOM INDIA 129.8
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    SJS ENTERPRISES 620.7
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    SKF INDIA 4,544.2
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    SKP BEARING INDUSTRIES 256.0
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    SONA COMSTAR 636.4
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    STEEL STRIPS WHEELS 229.1
    (1.0%)
    STERLING TOOLS 349.1
    (-1.8%)
    SUBROS. 622.0
    (-1.9%)
    SUNDARAM BRAKE 728.0
    (-1.6%)
    SUNDRAM FASTENERS 1,096.3
    (-0.5%)
    SUPRAJIT ENGINEERING 419.4
    (0.2%)
    TALBROS AUTO 293.2
    (-1.0%)
    TAPARIA TOOL 3.9
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    TIRUPATI TYRES 64.8
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    UCAL FUEL 181.1
    (-1.8%)
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    WHEELS INDIA 582.7
    (0.2%)
    ZF COMMERCIAL 13,748.6
    (-0.9%)
    ZF STEERING 1,107.4
    (2.0%)

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