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Budget 2006-07: Steel


Being a core sector, steel industry tracks the overall economic growth in the long-term. Also, steel demand, being derived from other sectors like automobiles, consumer durables and infrastructure, its fortune is dependent on the growth of these user industries. India is currently the ninth largest steel-producing nation in the world. However, it has a per capita consumption of steel of around 30 kgs as against 210 kgs in China and an average of over 400 kgs in the developed countries. Read more

 Budget Measures


  • Customs duty on ferro alloys, stainless steel and other alloy steel has been reduced from 10% to 7.5%.

     Budget Impact


  • The reduction in customs duties on certain forms of steel will exert pressure on steel companies' intentions of raising prices. However, the effect of this would be more prominent in times of cyclical downturns. With steel cycle already displaying signs of weakness, this is a negative.


     Sector Outlook


  • In line with what we had expected last year, the steel cycle has displayed signs of weakness over the last few quarters. We continue to remain cautious towards the steel sector in the medium-term owing to various reasons. We believe that the steel cycle has peaked and with various domestic and global capacity expansion plans taking shape coupled with China, the biggest consumer of steel and driver of steel prices in the past having become a net exporter of steel, would continue to keep steel prices under pressure. Indian steel majors have already announced aggressive capacity expansion plans. While steel demand in India is expected to grow in the region of 5% to 6% in the long-term, it may not be able to absorb the capacity additions being planned within the country.


     Budget over the years


    Budget 2003-04 Budget 2004-05 Budget 2005-06

    Finance minister reaffirmed the thrust on infrastructure development by announcing new infrastructure projects.

    Peak customs duty reduced from 30% to 25%.

    Decrease in freight rate by 5.3%. Confessional freight for short distance transportation.

    Tax sops maintained for the housing sector.

    Surcharge on corporate tax halved from the current 5% to 2.5%.

    Excise duty raised on iron and steel from 8% to 12%.

    Customs duty reduced from 15% to 10% on all primary, semi-finished and finished forms of iron and steel like ingots and billets, sponge iron, hot rolled and cold rolled bars/rods/coils of non-alloy steel (other than seconds and defectives).

    Customs duty on industry raw materials such as catalysts and refractory raw materials reduced from 15% to 10%.

    Excise duty on steel raised to 16%.

    Customs duty on ferro-alloys and stainless steel and other alloy steel reduced from 15% to 10

    Duty on coking coal with high ash content reduced from 15% to 5%.

    Duty on primary and secondary metals reduced from 15% to 10%.

    Customs duty reduced from 20% to 15% on ferro alloys, stainless steel and other alloy steel, excluding seconds and defectives.

    The budget is silent on the restoration of the duty entitlement pass book (DEPB) scheme applicable to steel exporters.

    A surcharge of 2% on account of education cess will be imposed on corporate tax.

    [Read more on Budget 2003-04] [Read more on Budget 2004-05] [Read more on Budget 2005-06]

    Key Positives
  • Growth potential:  The per capita steel consumption in India is abysmally low at around 30 kgs as compared to 210 kgs of China and over 400 kgs in the developed countries. This wide gap in relative steel consumption indicates that the potential ahead for India to raise its steel consumption is high.

  • Continued demand:  Meteoric rise in steel prices since 2003 until early 2005 helped the domestic steel companies immensely as many of them managed to reduce their debt burden considerably, helping them either turn into profits or increase the same significantly. Going forward, the demand for the metal is likely to sustain on the back of continuing demand from the US and other South East Asian nations.

  • Domestic help:  A robust housing and infrastructure sector, with growth potential in the auto and the consumer durables sectors is likely to be a big positive for the domestic steel sector.

  • India advantage:   Indian steel producers are one of the lowest cost producers in the world, which provides them a hedge against fall in prices. Further, relatively efficient and vertically integrated companies like Tisco are likely to be in a better position to weather any steel downturn.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Fragmented industry:   While there have been concerted efforts to bring in control the fragmented nature of the industry through consolidation and closures, the problem continues to persist. Further, the biggest threat to the industry remains from the cyclicality of the sector, which could put immense pressure on steel prices if steel consumption shows signs of faltering or supply exceeds the demand considerably.

  • Capped benefits:   Indian steel companies have to bear additional costs pertaining to capital equipment, power and inefficiencies (low per employee productivity). This has capped the edge they would have otherwise enjoyed due to availability of cheap labour and raw materials.

  • Import threat:   Another possible threat to the domestic steel sector continues to be from dumping by international companies. With wide spread capacity expansions taking place across the globe and the protection to domestic steel companies being progressively reduced with consistent reduction in custom duties, international steel companies might look at markets to dump their products. In such a scenario, Indian companies stand to lose due to lack of competition in terms of size.


    Budget Impact: Steel Sector Analysis for 2005-06 | Steel Sector Analysis for 2007-08
    Latest: Performance Of Steel Stocks | Steel Sector Report

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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs)
    ABC GAS 55.8
    (-5.0%)
    ADHUNIK INDUSTRIES 39.3
    (5.0%)
    AEROFLEX INDUSTRIES 149.1
    (0.6%)
    AERPACE INDUSTRIES 16.2
    (2.0%)
    ANKIT METAL 4.3
    (3.6%)
    APL APOLLO TUBES 1,555.5
    (0.3%)
    ASHIANA ISP. 43.6
    (-2.6%)
    AURO IMPEX 84.5
    (-0.8%)
    BALASORE ALLOYS 6.3
    (0.2%)
    BANSAL ROOFING PRODUCTS 85.0
    (-0.3%)
    BEEKAY STEEL IND. 636.8
    (-0.5%)
    BHARAT WIRE ROPES 315.9
    (2.4%)
    BIHAR SPONGE 14.7
    (-0.1%)
    BINANI INDUSTRIES 16.5
    (1.5%)
    BLOOM INDUS. 26.0
    (4.4%)
    BMW INDUSTRIES 63.8
    (-2.5%)
    BOMBAY WIRE ROPES 54.0
    (-2.0%)
    CAPTAIN TECHNOCAST 204.5
    (10.0%)
    CHAMAN METALLICS LTD. 95.6
    (1.2%)
    CHENNAI FERROUS IND. 118.0
    (0.4%)
    COSMIC CRF 1,023.3
    (-4.3%)
    CREATIVE CASTINGS 771.2
    (1.1%)
    CRIMSON METAL 8.9
    (-4.5%)
    CUBEX TUBING 119.9
    (-2.0%)
    D P WIRES 512.5
    (-0.9%)
    DALMIA REFRACTORIES LTD. 0.0
    (0.0%)
    DE NEERS TOOLS 209.5
    (-0.2%)
    DEEM ROLL-TECH LTD. 108.2
    (-0.8%)
    DEEPTI ALLOY STEEL 37.1
    (0.0%)
    DHATRE UDYOG 23.0
    (-5.0%)
    DP WIRES 513.2
    (-0.7%)
    EARTHSTAHL & ALLOYS 46.9
    (-2.4%)
    EAST COAST STEEL 29.3
    (0.0%)
    ELANGO INDUS 10.3
    (-1.9%)
    ELECTROSTEEL STEELS 31.1
    (-4.9%)
    EURO PANEL PRODUCTS 184.0
    (-0.5%)
    FACOR ALLOYS 7.8
    (-1.8%)
    GALLANTT METAL 294.5
    (0.7%)
    GANDHI SPECIAL TUBES 856.9
    (-0.5%)
    GODAWARI POWER 872.6
    (-1.9%)
    GOODLUCK INDIA 918.7
    (2.4%)
    GOPAL IRON & STL. 8.2
    (3.1%)
    GRAND FOUNDRY 10.5
    (0.0%)
    GRAVITA INDIA 975.4
    (0.3%)
    GUJ.INTRUX 339.3
    (3.2%)
    GYSCOAL ALLOYS 3.8
    (-0.5%)
    HARIOM PIPE 585.4
    (-1.6%)
    HEERA ISPAT 7.5
    (-1.4%)
    HI-TECH PIPES 128.3
    (-1.4%)
    HINDUSTAN COPPER 388.8
    (-0.5%)
    HISAR METAL 185.6
    (1.0%)
    IFGL REFRACTORIES 638.3
    (-1.7%)
    INDIAN BRIGHT 154.8
    (2.0%)
    INDIAN METALS 724.4
    (0.5%)
    INDSIL HYDROPOWER 49.1
    (-1.4%)
    INDUCTO STEEL 69.2
    (3.4%)
    INVESTMENT & PREC. 649.9
    (-2.5%)
    ISMT 105.0
    (1.8%)
    JAI BALAJI INDUS 1,065.0
    (-2.3%)
    JAI CORP 315.0
    (-0.7%)
    JAINAM FERRO ALLOYS (I) LTD. 152.9
    (10.0%)
    JAYASWAL NECO 56.8
    (2.1%)
    JINDAL SAW 557.0
    (-0.4%)
    JINDAL STAINLESS 700.0
    (-0.2%)
    JINDAL STAINLESS (HISAR) 560.8
    (3.6%)
    JINDAL STEEL & POWER 941.9
    (1.1%)
    JSW STEEL 896.0
    (1.1%)
    KACHCHH MINERALS 35.6
    (-3.1%)
    KALYANI CAST TECH LTD. 433.0
    (0.6%)
    KALYANI FORGE 439.5
    (1.2%)
    KALYANI STEELS 882.7
    (-2.0%)
    KAMDHENU ISPAT 538.0
    (-0.3%)
    KANISHK STEEL 33.6
    (3.4%)
    KIC METALLICS 54.1
    (-1.7%)
    KIRL.FERROUS 617.5
    (1.8%)
    KRIDHAN INFRA 4.4
    (-4.0%)
    LESHA STEELS 15.7
    (2.0%)
    LGB FORGE 10.3
    (-0.9%)
    LLOYDS METALS 716.7
    (-1.3%)
    M.M.FORGINGS 1,170.5
    (2.8%)
    MAGNA ELECTR 468.2
    (-1.4%)
    MAHAMAYA STEEL 112.0
    (0.6%)
    MAHARASHTRA SEAMLESS 898.0
    (0.9%)
    MAIDEN FORGINGS LTD. 103.0
    (-2.3%)
    MAITHAN ALLOYS 1,236.1
    (0.7%)
    MANAKSIA STEELS 59.0
    (1.7%)
    MANGALAM WORLDWIDE LTD. 173.6
    (10.3%)
    MARATHWADA REFRACT 389.0
    (-3.0%)
    METAL COATING 94.1
    (-3.0%)
    METALYST FORGINGS 4.9
    (-1.8%)
    MEWAT ZINC 161.0
    (0.2%)
    MFS INTERCORP 13.3
    (2.5%)
    MISHRA DHATU NIGAM 431.9
    (-2.3%)
    MODERN STEEL 22.2
    (-0.4%)
    MONNET IND. 26.0
    (-2.3%)
    MORGANITE CRUC 1,393.3
    (-2.1%)
    MSP STEEL & POWER 28.1
    (2.4%)
    MUKAND 183.9
    (-3.2%)
    MUKAT PIPES 14.4
    (2.1%)
    N.D. METAL 111.5
    (0.0%)
    NALWA SONS INV 3,603.0
    (-0.7%)
    NANAVATI VENTURES 49.9
    (-1.4%)
    NATIONAL FITTINGS 146.4
    (-7.1%)
    NELCAST. 150.6
    (-0.9%)
    NILACHAL REFRACT. 58.1
    (-0.1%)
    NILE. 1,409.4
    (2.5%)
    NMDC STEEL 66.0
    (-0.5%)
    NOVA IRON & STEEL 26.5
    (-2.0%)
    NUPUR RECYCLERS 79.6
    (-1.2%)
    OM INFRA 138.6
    (-0.5%)
    ORIENT ABRASIVES 50.5
    (1.5%)
    OWAIS METAL & MINERAL PROCESSING LTD. 818.4
    (5.0%)
    P.M. TELELINNKS 6.4
    (-1.4%)
    PACT INDUSTRIES 1.4
    (4.6%)
    PENNAR INDUSTRIES 139.2
    (0.2%)
    POCL ENTERPRISES 333.2
    (2.0%)
    POKARNA 471.7
    (0.8%)
    PRADHIN 46.5
    (3.3%)
    PRAKASH STEELAGE 7.9
    (-0.5%)
    QUALITY FOILS (INDIA) LTD. 124.0
    (-2.4%)
    RAASI REFRACTORIES 52.1
    (5.0%)
    RAJDARSHAN 46.7
    (-1.4%)
    RAJRATAN GLOBAL WIRE 630.7
    (0.3%)
    RAM RAT.WIRE 347.6
    (4.9%)
    RAMA STEEL TUBES 13.5
    (-1.5%)
    RATHI BARS 39.4
    (0.3%)
    RATHI STEEL 62.4
    (-2.0%)
    RATNAMANI METALS 3,080.2
    (2.2%)
    RATNAVEER PRECISION ENGINEERING LTD. 137.1
    (-1.3%)
    REMI EDELSTAHL TUBULARS 96.5
    (0.9%)
    RHETAN TMT 9.3
    (0.7%)
    RHI MAGNESITA 633.1
    (-1.4%)
    RIDDHI STEEL & TUBE 41.1
    (8.2%)
    RUCHI STRIPS 6.7
    (0.0%)
    RUDRA GLOBAL 40.9
    (4.9%)
    SAIL 164.8
    (-2.2%)
    SAL STEEL 19.5
    (0.1%)
    SARDA ENERGY & MINERALS 234.0
    (1.0%)
    SARTHAK METALS 242.1
    (2.5%)
    SH.STEEL WIR 39.4
    (-0.1%)
    SHAH ALLOYS 67.9
    (3.9%)
    SHALIMAR WIRE 24.8
    (3.6%)
    SHARDA ISPAT 283.6
    (-4.5%)
    SHARP CHUCKS & MACHINES LTD. 96.1
    (-0.9%)
    SHIV.BIMETAL 579.1
    (0.4%)
    SHRI BAJRANG ALLOYS 296.4
    (1.7%)
    SHYAM METALICS AND ENERGY 638.2
    (-0.3%)
    SIMPLEX CASTINGS 189.0
    (2.0%)
    SP REFRACTORIES LTD. 189.5
    (4.9%)
    SRU STEELS 10.6
    (1.3%)
    STEEL EXCHANGE 14.4
    (1.8%)
    STEEL STRIPS INFRA 35.7
    (-1.6%)
    STEELCAST 672.8
    (1.7%)
    SUNFLAG IRON & STEEL 214.8
    (0.3%)
    SURAJ PRODUCTS 703.0
    (5.0%)
    SURAJ STAINLESS 295.5
    (-0.5%)
    SURANI STEEL TUBES 419.7
    (-2.1%)
    SURYA ROSHNI 609.9
    (0.3%)
    SWASTIK PIPES LTD. 80.0
    (-0.9%)
    T.N.STEEL TU 11.3
    (0.1%)
    TATA METALIK 1,090.2
    (3.0%)
    TATA STEEL 167.4
    (0.9%)
    TATA STEEL BSL 85.6
    (-1.4%)
    TATA STEEL LONG PROD 829.5
    (0.3%)
    TAYO ROLLS 92.6
    (0.5%)
    THAAI CASTING LTD. 172.0
    (-1.7%)
    TINPLATE 430.5
    (-0.5%)
    TRANSTEEL SEATING TECH 95.2
    (-2.3%)
    TULSYAN NEC 102.0
    (-4.4%)
    UNI ABEX 2,745.9
    (0.1%)
    UNISON METALS 23.0
    (-2.9%)
    USHA MARTIN 357.6
    (-2.8%)
    VALLABH STEEL 14.2
    (4.6%)
    VASWANI INDUSTRIES 36.7
    (0.0%)
    VBC FERRO 46.7
    (0.3%)
    VENUS PIPES & TUBES 2,093.8
    (0.7%)
    VIBHOR STEEL TUBES LTD. 293.7
    (-1.9%)
    VISA STEEL 21.0
    (-4.4%)
    WELCAST 1,768.5
    (14.0%)
    WELSPUN SPECIALTY 41.0
    (5.0%)

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