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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs) 1-YR CHG (%)
    ALLAHABAD BANK 55.5 -58.9
    ANDHRA BANK 60.0 -51.9
    AXIS BANK 571.2 -45.9
    BANK OF BARODA 289.3 -39.9
    BANK OF MAHARASHTRA 26.5 -71.3
    BANK OF RAJASTHAN 44.9 -70.0
    BOI 302.3 -20.5
    CANARA BANK 216.0 -46.0
    CENTRAL BANK 46.3 -67.5
    CITY UNION BANK 15.9 -66.8
    CORPN. BANK 204.0 -55.0
    DENA BANK 40.9 -56.3
    DEVELOPMENT CREDIT BANK 24.0 -84.3
    DHANALAKSHMI BANK 59.6 -33.2
    FEDERAL BANK 168.0 -51.3
    HDFC BANK 1,105.2 -34.9
    ICICI BANK 526.4 -59.0
    IDBI BANK 71.4 -59.3
    INDIAN BANK 137.1 -35.6
    INDIAN OVERSEAS BANK 75.7 -62.5
    INDUSIND BANK 44.0 -66.4
    ING VYSYA BANK 152.5 -57.7
    J&K BANK 387.0 -57.2
    KARNATAKA BANK 82.0 -67.5
    KARUR VYS BANK 231.7 -51.9
    KOTAK BANK 386.6 -71.9
    LAKSHMI VILAS BANK 70.0 -58.9
    ORIENTAL BK. 174.0 -43.8
    PNB 530.0 -24.2
    SBI 1,324.3 -41.1
    SYNDICATE BANK 64.2 -47.9
    UCO BANK 31.4 -60.8
    UNION BANK 162.7 -28.9
    VIJAYA BANK 37.0 -60.2
    YES BANK 88.0 -66.2
    Budget 2004: Bank

     Budget Measures
  • The FDI limit in private sector banks has been raised to 74% from the existing 49%.

  • The SBI will have to lend at lower rates to the agricultural sector as well as SSIs. SBI will now offer loans in the range 2% above its Prime Lending Rate (PLR) or 2% below its PLR.

  • Tax exemption on interest on housing loans maintained at Rs 150,000 per year.

  • The government has agreed to buy back older government borrowing with high interest rates from banks.

  • Reduction in the interest rates on all small savings schemes by 1%.


     Budget Impact
  • Increase in FDI limit will increase investments in the banking sector. Banks with an international parentage are likely to see increased consolidation by their parents. The budget measures are also likely to lead to increased consolidation among private sector banks.

  • The proposal by the government to buy back its old high cost loans will impact the banks in two ways. Firstly, the banks will be able to book gains on their high yield G-Sec portfolios. However, these gains will have to be for provisioning against NPAs. Thus, the government's intention is to improve the asset quality of banks. The flipside, however, is the fact that though these banks will be able to book one-time gains, the incremental investments in G-Secs will be at lower yields. Thus, interest income from investments of these banks is likely to take a hit going forward.

  • The reduction in interest rates of all small savings schemes is likely to increase the attractiveness of bank deposits as the difference between small savings schemes and fixed deposits is slowly narrowing.

  • Incentives of housing loans remaining unchanged will ensure that housing loans will continue to remain in favour of the middle class. A healthy growth that has been seen in the past is likely to continue.

  • The cap on interest rates for the purposes of lending to the agricultural and SSI sectors will go a long way in ensuring that the benefits of lower interest rates are passed on all sections of borrowers. The flip side however is that bank exposure to relatively high risk sectors will increase.


     Industry Wish List
     
     Click here to read Budget Wishlist of Mr. P. S. Shenoy, Chairman & MD, Bank of Baroda

     Other industry recommendations:
  • Abolition of tax deducted at source on bank fixed deposits.

  • Increase in the foreign investment limit in Private sector banks to 74% and state run banks to 49%.

  • Exclusion of the GDR holding in State Bank of India (SBI) from the 20% cap on foreign holding.

  • The Indian Banking Association (IBA) has suggested the relaxation for listed banks and financial institutions from adhering to accounting standards not synchronous with banking operations. (Globally there is separate set of accounting standards for banks under IAS - 42).


     Budget over the years
    Budget 2000-01 Budget 2001-02 Budget 2002-03
    Interest tax of 2% abolished

    Government shareholding in PSU banks to be reduced to 33%.

    Financial Reconstruction Authority to be given special powers to address issues of weak banks.

    Four more debt recovery tribunals and three appellate debt recovery tribunals to be set up.

    Recapitalisation of weak banks to continue.

    Reduction in dividend tax to 10% from 20%.

    Cut in small savings rates 1-1.5%

    Limit for TDS on deposits reduced to Rs 2,500 from the current Rs 10,000.

    Abolishment of banking service recruitment board

    Cut in most administered interest rates by 0.5% (by 50 basis points) from March 1, 2002.

    Setting up of Asset Reconstruction Company by June 2002.

    Banks are now allowed to deduct 7.5% of their total income against provisions made by them for bad and doubtful debts.

    Banks are given option to deduct up to 10% of their non-performing assets (NPAs) falling in the category of loss or doubtful assets from total income.

    Bill on the banking sector reforms is to be introduced in Parliament.

    Foreign banks permitted to operate in India with fully owned branches after the specific permission of RBI.

    [Read more on Budget 2000-01] [Read more on Budget 2001-02] [Read more on Budget 2002-03]

    Key Positives
  • The new asset reconstruction bill gives banks new sweeping powers that will enable them to recover sticky assets in a fast and efficient manner. For the first time the government has made this law which is lender friendly and which will go a long way in cleaning up the books of banks.

  • PSU banks like SBI, BOB and BOI are successfully implementing VRS schemes. This is likely to result not only in higher cash flow in the future, but also long term benefits like improvement in efficiency levels.

  • The government has allowed PSU banks to buy its stake in other banks. Currently, only the shares not held by the government is freely transferable. Now since the government proposes to reduce its holding in these banks to 33%, it would need prospective buyers for its stake. The move will also allow mergers and acquisitions of state owned banks.

  • Low interest rates have led to a dramatic growth in credit off take from the retail segment.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Poor industrial credit off take has limited the growth in advances of most of the banks to the industrial segment. Though this has been compensated to an extent due to the growth from the retail segment, banks still have excess liquidity that has been parked in low yielding G-Secs.

  • Poor monsoons in the currently financial year may impact the food credit off take as well in FY04. The core sector growth has already started showing signs of a slowdown. This is likely to arrest any recovery in non food credit off take.

  • Although the government has increased the FDI limit to 49%, it is not yet clear that whether FDI limit includes FII limit also. Also the limit for state run banks still stands at 20%.

     Views on News
  • Corporation Bank (Dec 13, 2008) (StockSelect)
  • Corporation Bank: All but capital (Nov 17, 2008)
  • State Bank of India (Nov 15, 2008) (StockSelect)
  • IDBI Bank: Mere balance sheet growth (Nov 14, 2008)
  • OBC: Provisions eat into profits (Nov 10, 2008)
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