RESEARCH IT  >>  INDIAN ECONOMY  >>  BUDGET 2004



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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs) 1-YR CHG (%)
    ACC LIMITED 428.4 -60.8
    AMBUJA CEMENTS 54.2 -64.8
    BIRLA CORP 102.9 -69.9
    CHETTINAD CEM 400.0 -8.7
    DALMIA CEMENT 69.7 -87.6
    INDIA CEMENTS 84.3 -72.4
    JK LAKSHMI CEMENT 32.7 -84.0
    MADRAS CEMENTS 60.1 -73.3
    MANGALAM CEMENT 45.3 -76.6
    MYSORE CEMENTS 11.9 -78.5
    PRISM CEMENT 15.6 -75.0
    SHREE CEMENT 349.3 -76.1
    ULTRATECH CEMENT 290.1 -70.8
    Budget 2004: Cement

     Budget Measures
  • Excise duty on cement hiked by Rs 50 to Rs 400/ Tonne.
  • Major announcements for infrastructure projects are:
    • 48 new road projects comprising of 10,000 Kms at a cost of Rs 400 bn. 25% of these roads are expected to be concretized as announced by the finance minister.

    • Announcement to renovate 2 airports as well as 2 seaports at a cost of Rs 110 bn.

    • Announcement to build two convention centers at a cost of Rs 10 bn.

    • The Rail Vikas Project is announced at a cost of Rs 80bn.

  • Tax exemption on interest on housing loans maintained at Rs 150,000 per year.
  • Tax breaks on specified housing projects have been extended till 2005.

     Budget Impact
  • The hike in excise duties will directly impact the bottomline of cement companies unless the companies are able to pass on the tax to the consumers. Per bag impact of this hike in excise duty is going to be Rs 2.50 per 50 Kg bag. Our interaction with the industry, however, indicates that the hike in excise duty will have to be eventually passed on to the consumers.

  • While the government has increased the excise duty on cement, it has also provided for a good growth in demand for cement. These new road projects by the government together with the already underway NHDP (National Highway Development Project) will go a long way in increasing the demand for cement, especially due to the fact that 25% of these roads are expected to be concretized. Rough calculations put the yearly demand for cement from the new road projects at just over 1 m tonnes. This is assuming that it takes nearly 2,700 tonnes of cement per Km to concretize a road, and that the project will be spread over a period of 5 years.

  • Apart from the road projects the government's thrust on infrastructure like airports and seaports will further boost demand for cement.

  • The maintenance of incentives on housing loans is likely to spur further investments in the housing industry. This is likely to significantly benefit the cement industry as atleast 60% of demand comes from this sector.


     Industry Wish List

    Budget Expectations - L&T Limited

    Budget Expectations - Gujarat Ambuja Cements

    Open letter to the Finance minister from the Cement industry

  • The CMA (Cement Manufacturers' Association) has asked for the specific rate of excise duty to be maintained instead of making it on an ad-valorem basis. Presently the excise duty on cement stands at Rs 350 per tonne. This system according to the CMA is transparent, simple and assures administrative smoothness. One of the other major requirements of the cement industry is the reduction of import duty on non-coking oil. Currently the total import duty on non-coking coal stands at 30% in comparison to an import duty of 6.5% in neighbouring China.

  • The CMA has also asked for the removal of the recent Rs 8 per tonne hike in limestone royalty. This hike in royalty has led to a Rs 12 per tonne increase in input costs. Royalty on limestone has risen by nearly 800% in the last two decades. Apart from the above-mentioned demands following are the other demands of the CMA.

  • Promotion of concrete roads in highway projects.

  • Promotion of cement exports by way of full reimbursement of state levies, increase in the quantum of duty free import of coal as well as by giving incentives to companies that have set up infrastructure for exports, like captive jetties.

  • Promotion of the housing sector by simplifying the land acquisition process, repealing the Urban Land Ceiling and Regulation Act (ULCRA), rationalization of stamp duties and the modification of Rents and Indian Stamp Acts.


     Budget over the years
    Budget 2000-01 Budget 2001-02 Budget 2002-03
    No change has been made in the customs and excise structure currently prevailing in the domestic markets. Customs duty reduced from 35% to 25%.

    Cement purchased for Gujarat relief work to be exempt from Excise duty.

    The dividend tax has been reduced to 10% from 20%.

    Reduction of surcharge on corporate tax.

    Customs duty on cement and cement clinker reduced to 20% from 25%.

    More funds allocated to the rural roads projects.

    Railway freight rates for cement reduced by 0.96%. Railway freight rates for coal increased by 0.83%.

    The cement manufacturing companies can avail of a higher rate of depreciation of up to 40% on capital goods if they increase their capacity by 25%.

    [Read more on Budget 2000-01] [Read more on Budget 2001-02] [Read more on Budget 2002-03]

    Key Positives
  • Per capita consumption of cement in India stood at 97 Kg in 2001 compared to a world average of 263 Kg. This indicates a huge potential for the cement industry in the future.

  • Buoyant housing sector growth and focus on road infrastructure sectors are likely to boost demand for cement. The current tax incentives on housing and lower cost of housing loans, if sustained, is likely to ensure a healthy demand for cement as nearly 60% of cement demand comes from the housing sector.

  • Lack of aggressive capacity additions in the long term is indicative of the fact that cement prices are going to firm up in the future.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Out of the total cost of a tonne of cement, levies i.e. sales tax, excise octroi etc account for nearly Rs 934 per tonne. This significantly increases the cost of cement that is available at the retail level.

  • In the short-term overcapacity in the cement industry has led to a slump in the prices of cement severely affecting the operating as well as net profit margins of cement companies.

  • Absence of investment in the economy continues to have a big impact on the industrial sector.

  • The cement industry in Indian is considerably fragmented leading to volatility in prices regionally and poor cement prices.

     Views on News
  • Ultratech Cements: Research meet extracts (Dec 4, 2008)
  • ACC Limited (Nov 29, 2008) (StockSelect)
  • ACC: Research meet extracts (Nov 25, 2008)
  • Cement: Taxes purge competitiveness (Nov 21, 2008)
  • India Cements: Impacted by falling profits (Nov 5, 2008)
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