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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs) 1-YR CHG (%)
    CESC LTD 278.4 -6.6
    GUJ.IND.POW 72.5 -18.3
    GVK POWER & INFRA 16.9 -43.2
    JAIPRAKASH POWER 46.1 6.6
    NEYVELI LIGNITE 92.5 -10.3
    NHPC LTD 20.7 -14.1
    NTPC 177.0 -2.2
    POWER GRID CORP. 107.7 9.2
    PTC INDIA LTD 54.1 -43.6
    RELIANCE INFRA 590.3 -14.1
    RELIANCE POWER 101.8 -20.6
    TATA POWER 108.0 -10.0
    TORRENT POWER LTD 217.6 -0.9

    Budget 2004: Power



     Budget Measures


  • For development of the power infrastructure, the FM announced that mega power status would now be given to all power projects meeting the existing norms.

  • Customs duty reduced on high voltage equipments from 25% to 5%.

  • Import of capital goods relating to water treatment exempt from duties


     Budget Impact


  • On the face of it, this budget did not focus too much on power sector. However, the freeing of mega power status to all power projects is an indication of the government's focus on power development.

  • More than the budget, it's the new electricity bill that holds more promise for power development in the country. The bill has already been mooted with broad guidelines to reduce government interference. In it, there are references to freeing of licencing norms for setting up distribution and generation projects. More carrots and sticks to States to conform with the new APRDP norms focusing on unbundling of SEBs and charging real rates of power production to consumers.

  • In the short term, not much changes for BSES and Tata Power. But the long term looks good against the backdrop of these measures. Water treatment exemption is unlikely to have any effect on Thermax financially, however, this will expand the market for these type of products going forward and benefit companies in this field over the long term. While we thought that reduction in imports of voltage equipment is not good news for ABB, the ABB management has clarified that this measure is only for very high voltage transformers and therefore do not affect ABB at all.


     Industry Wish List


  • The other long pending demand of the power industry is that the government should withdraw the 16% cap on the rate of return for power projects in the upcoming budget and instead state that power companies should compete on the efficiency of their plants and tariffs. This will encourage companies to become operationally efficient and would be beneficial for consumers in the long run.

  • The industry has also asked the government to allow power and power finance companies to raise money by issuing infrastructure bonds (very much like ICICI and IDBI) that carry a 20% income tax rebate to the bond subscriber. This will aid the industry in mobilizing resources.

  • Lower import duties and tax benefits to encourage private distribution.

  • Make dividends from infrastructure sectors tax-free and do away with MAT (minimum alternate tax) for infrastructure.

  • Make forex borrowings tax-free for encouraging infrastructure projects.


     Budget over the years


    Budget 2000-01 Budget 2001-02 Budget 2002-03
    Securitisation of dues owed by the SEBs to coal companies·

    No change in customs duty and excise duty

    10-year tax holiday for investments in infrastructure continues. For investments made prior to March 2003, the tax holiday is applicable from retrospective effect.

    There was also mention of increasing user charges for services provided by the government. But there is no clarity on that

    An accelerated rural electrification programme with an outlay of Rs 1.6 bn was provided.

    APDRP outlay enhanced to Rs 35 bn (from Rs 15 bn earlier).

    The focus of reform has shifted from generation to transmission and distribution.

    Setting up of an infrastructure equity fund of Rs 10 bn to provide equity investment for infrastructure projects.

    [Read more on Budget 2000-01] [Read more on Budget 2001-02] [Read more on Budget 2002-03]

    Key Positives
  • As per statistics, India has to generate around 10,000 MW of additional capacity every year for the next 10 years, in order to plug the demand supply gap. Also, if India has to achieve a consistent 7% GDP growth, then power generation has to clock in 8%-9% per annum. So demand is not an issue for this industry.

  • There has been a significant shift in the government’s power policy. The stress is now on strengthening the distribution infrastructure. Corporatising of the SEBs, with a greater degree of accountability being demanded from the states. The PM’s rural electrification programme is also a step in the right direction.

  • There have been many positive reforms in the IPP (Independent Power Projects) policy. Some of them being: the period of licenses for generation and distribution can be upto 30 years and renewals for 20 years, five year income tax holiday and upto 100% foreign holding permitted in power projects.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Overall power reforms have been slow. Independent power projects (IPPs) supply power to the State Electricity Boards (SEBs). However the poor financial condition of the SEBs is a major concern for the viability of these IPPs. As a result financial institutions are still reluctant to fund these IPPs.

  • Transmission and distribution losses continue to be an area of concern. Power theft continues to be a serious problem in India. The transmission & distribution losses in India exceed 20%, while internationally the level is around 10%.

  • The Dabhol fiasco is likely to make Indian FIs even more reluctant to fund power projects. Also, though the government has made the right noises about power reform, investors are still till circumspect about the government’s ability to execute its resolve.


    Budget Impact: Power Sector Analysis for 2003 | Power Sector Analysis for 2004-05
    Latest: Performance Of Power Stocks | Power Sector Report
      
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