Get Ready to Make Big Profits in India's Defense Sector - The 5 Minute WrapUp by Equitymaster
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Get Ready to Make Big Profits in India's Defense Sector

Mar 18, 2019

Tanushree Banerjee, Editor, The 5 Minute Wrapup

How do you rate a product that you've bought as' money well spent'?

For me, it's being able use it smoothly most of the time.

If I buy a mobile phone and if it works smoothly for years, I think of it as money well spent. The same applies to food, clothes etc.

But there are things you buy but don't ever want to use.

Like Insurance, for example.

You buy it for your peace of mind.

But always hope that you never have to use it.

Buying it provides a sense of comfort for you and your near and dear ones.

What is true for an individual is true for a country as well.

Think about this...

Does India spend tons of money on her military every year with thought of waging a war?

In fact, quite the opposite.

The goal of our military spending is to defend ourselves from external foes, in the event they unwisely choose to attack us.

There are other economic benefits too - employment, strategic deals with other countries, etc.

After all, a country that is perceived to be safe is a better country to do business with than one that is not.

So how does India fare in this regard?

Well we have the fourth largest military in the world. We are also the fifth largest spender on defence.

But how does it compare with other military superpowers?

As of 2017, India's spend on military was 10% of the US and 28% of China.

That's right. The US spends 10 times as much on its military that we do on ours!

Not a favorable stat for the country with the world's second biggest population.

Worse still, as per recent findings, about 50% of our defence equipment is obsolete. Further, about 65% is imported.

The government's recent policies are aimed at rectifying two major issues.

  • Reducing India's over dependence on imports.
  • Expanding the defence budget to modernise existing equipment.

The Make in India initiative in areas like defence, electric vehicles, railways, aerospace and mining is a step in this direction.

I believe, the recent tensions with Pakistan will only accelerate this initiative.

India is on its way to being a 10 trillion dollar economy. I'm sure you don't need convincing of the huge money-making opportunities in this sector.

You see, military spending as a percentage of our country's gross domestic product (GDP) is 2.5%.

For countries like Russia and the US, it is 4.3% and 3.1% of their GDP respectively.

Even Pakistan spends 3.5% of its GDP of defence.

Companies involved in this sector will benefit immensely from this trend over the long-term. You must not overlook the opportunities here.

I strongly believe this sector can be one of biggest wealth creators of India's long-term growth story.

I've been looking for the best stocks in this sector for the last few months.

I'm happy to report that I've shortlisted 3 stocks I believe will benefit the most from this boom.

You can expect to hear the details very soon...

Chart of the Day

For long, India has been known as a military power.

But much of it is due to India's military personnel rather than the arsenal they have at hand.

Issues related to obsolete aircrafts and other military equipment is commonly in the news.

On per capita basis, India's military spending is quite low.

Scope for Increase in India's Defence Spending?

China with a comparable population, spends almost 3.5 times as much as India does on their military.

China is also spending five times as much on R&D as we do. It's also now exporting twice the amount it was just five years ago.

Will India follow a similar pattern to China in terms of increasing R&D and exports?

With India's big policy push in defence, I believe this difference between India and China is bound to reduce with time.

For investors, this means a big opportunity to benefit from privatisation and increased government spending in this sector.

Warm regards,

Tanushree Banerjee
Tanushree Banerjee
Editor and Research Analyst, The 5 Minute WrapUp

PS: Tanushree Banerjee, editor of StockSelect, has uncovered the 3 stocks that are best placed to ride the boom in India's defense industry. She is ready to reveal the names very soon!

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2 Responses to "Get Ready to Make Big Profits in India's Defense Sector"

Deepesh

Mar 19, 2019

What matters is how much of the defence budget is actually spent on Capital expenditure vis a vis revenue expenditure.
Again in Capital expenditure, how much of the orders are given to Indian companies (which I believe is miniscule in comparison to the orders given to foreign companies).
Further orders given to Indian private sector companies is still less, despite their capacity and timely execution, vis-a-vis public sector enterprises.
For strong defence, faster and bigger order allocation to private sector companies becomes an urgent necessity.

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R.V.Harnoor

Mar 18, 2019

I have been an avid reader of the 5 minute wrap-up.
Incidentally, "5-minute" not '5 minute ' would be correct.

After retiring as News Editor from the Indian Express more than twenty years ago, as a freelance copyeditor I have edited more than 60 books on different subjects, besides more than 15 Ph.D. theses.
As you must have guessed , my focus is on the correctness of language. In today's " Wrap-up" there are two mistakes.
1. Seventh line above "The only stock to score" box, It should be "India is on the way to becoming (not 'being').

Under the Chart of the Day,
The third line, " issues related to..... Is commonly in the news". It should be " are" commonly in the news.

Hope you will take this feedback in the right spirit.
Yours faithfully,
R.V.H.

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