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Budget 2004-05: Auto Ancillaries


With US $ 1 trillion worth of opportunity knocking at its doors, the Indian auto industry with its low cost manpower and homegrown IT advantage is all set to grow its revenues to US$ 5 bn by FY08, a five fold increase from the current levels. However, dated technology and competition from countries like China and Thailand might disrupt the industry growth story. Read more

 Budget Measures


  • Duty on key inputs such as non-alloy steel to be reduced from 15% to 10%. Duty on alloy steel, copper, lead, zinc and base metals also reduced from 20% to 15%
  • Consortium of banks formed to ensure speedy conclusion of loan agreements and implementation of infrastructure projects.
  • 2% education cess on all taxes.

     Budget Impact


  • Given the spate of FTAs (free trade agreements) that the Indian government was signing with other Asian countries, it was being feared that the Indian auto components industry would lose its competitiveness on account of lower duties prevailing in these regions. However, the reduction in duties on certain key raw materials such as steel, lead and zinc seems to have allayed some of those fears.

  • The fortunes of the auto ancillary industry are linked to the auto industry. Thus, certain positive announcements for the auto industry such as thrust on infrastructure development and removal of excise duties on tractors augurs well for the auto ancillaries industry.

  • Just as R&D spend is important for the auto industry, it is equally important for the auto ancillaries manufacturers. Infact, with the industry players competing in fiercely competitive markets of US and Europe, the need for adequate investments in R&D cannot be understated. Therefore, the turning down of suggestion of 150% R&D deduction benefits as applicable to auto, IT and pharma sectors, is not likely to go down well with industry players.


     Sector Outlook


  • Though the budget did not spring up any major surprises for the sector, we remain positive on the sector. The reduction in customs duties on certain key inputs however, is one positive move. This will ensure that the Indian auto ancillaries industry remains cost competitive vis-à-vis major rivals such as China and Thailand and comfortably achieve the target of increasing the export revenues to US$ 5 bn by 2008 (US$ 1 bn now). However, any slow down in the Indian auto industry will hurt the prospects.


     Industry Wish List


    Key pre-budget memorandum for 2004-05 from Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India (ACMA) is as follows:

  • Setting up of 3 domestic SEZs in the North, West and Southern India clustering around the major automotive manufacturing hubs. There should be exemption from customs duty on inputs, sales tax & excise duty for supplies to units in the SEZ.

  • All barriers to inter-state trade and commerce should be removed and a uniform national market to be created on the implementation of VAT.

  • Status quo to be maintained on import tariffs on auto-components so that they would be kept at the current levels of 25% for the next 2-3 years

  • Benefit of 150% weighted deduction for investment made on R&D maybe extended to auto component manufacturers also, as it has been done in the case of other notified industries.


     top the years


    Budget 2001-02 Budget 2002-03 Budget 2003-04
    Status quo maintained in excise duty structure as most producers are in the 16% CENVAT bracket.

    8% special excise duty on cars and two-wheelers to be withdrawn.

    Surcharge on import duty of certain key raw materials lowered.

    Reduction in customs duty on metals used by industry. While duty on copper, zinc and lead reduced from 35% to 25%, duty on Aluminium reduced from 25% to 15%.

    De-reservation of a number of items in the SSI sector.

    Measures to bring in large-scale public investment in infrastructure development and acceleration in the Golden Quadrilateral project.

    Additional levy of a cess of 50 paise per liter of diesel and motor spirit, which will contribute Rs 26 bn and help in acceleration of highway development program.

    IT companies will continue to enjoy the benefits of 10A/10B benefits even after a change of management.

    Reduction in excise duty on cars from 32% to 24% and electric vehicles from 16% to 8%.

    Decrease in freight rate on iron and steel by around 5.3%.

    [Read more on Budget 2001-02] [Read more on Budget 2002-03]

    Key Positives
  • Cost advantage - Due to cost related pressures on global auto players and Tier 1 suppliers, a lot of them have started outsourcing components from Indian auto ancillary players. The industry, which exported components worth over US$ 1 bn in FY04, is also benefiting from strong domestic sales.

  • Large untapped market - Global auto components market is worth over US$ 1 trillion and considering India's market size, which is just 0.8% of the total market size, there exists tremendous growth opportunity for the domestic auto players to exploit.

  • Milking the MNC experience - The entry of global players such as Ford, GM, Toyota and Honda into the Indian market has allowed the Indian manufacturers to work with these players on global production, quality and delivery systems. It has also helped the global players to see for themselves the evolution of many auto components manufacturers and they are therefore now entrusting them with more work.

  • IT advantage - Thanks to the country's IT advantage, the industry is capable of becoming a full-fledged service provider (research, design, development, testing) to global OEMs and thus score over competitors like China and Thailand. This combined with low cost quality manpower strengthens our stand in the global arena.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Not enough economies of scale - Despite being around 60 years old, the domestic auto industry is even behind countries like South Korea, Brazil and Mexico in terms of production and sales, thus depriving it the benefit of economies of scale. This makes it difficult for companies to invest extensively in R&D and development, a key competitive tool in the global market.

  • Competitive threats - Countries like China and Thailand might put a spanner in domestic industry's wheels. While China has huge economies of scale and lower labour cost than India in some areas, Thailand is believed to have excess capacity (legacy of East Asian crisis) and depreciated assets. Therefore, these countries are capable of beating India at its own game, that of low cost.

  • Trade agreements might hurt - The growing number of FTAs (Free Trade Agreements) that are being signed by India with countries like Thailand, Singapore, China etc is likely to hurt the domestic players as they pay a relatively higher duty of around 25% as compared to 1%-10% being paid by its Asian counterparts.


    Budget Impact:  Auto Ancillaries Sector Analysis for 2005-06
    Latest: Performance Of Auto Ancillaries Stocks | Auto Ancillaries Sector Report

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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs)
    AFFORDABLE ROBOTIC & AUTOMATION 531.4
    (-3.4%)
    AKAR TOOLS L 113.8
    (0.7%)
    AMARA RAJA ENERGY & MOBILITY 1,107.5
    (-2.2%)
    AMIC FORGING LTD. 669.0
    (-0.1%)
    ASAHI INDIA 595.3
    (-1.3%)
    ASK AUTOMOTIVE LTD. 313.2
    (-0.9%)
    AUTO CORP. OF GOA 2,044.0
    (-1.7%)
    AUTOLINE INDUST. 126.5
    (-1.3%)
    AUTOMOTIVE AXLES 1,894.0
    (1.3%)
    AUTOMOTIVE STAMP 844.4
    (3.4%)
    BANCO PRODUCTS 627.8
    (1.2%)
    BHARAT GEARS 118.6
    (-1.6%)
    BHARAT SEATS 155.5
    (1.3%)
    BIMETAL BEARINGS 642.1
    (0.9%)
    BOMBAY CYCLE 1,498.8
    (-1.8%)
    BOSCH 28,800.4
    (-0.2%)
    CIE AUTOMOTIVE INDIA 489.9
    (0.6%)
    CRAFTSMAN AUTOMATION 4,641.0
    (0.8%)
    DECCAN BEARINGS 58.9
    (-1.3%)
    DIVGI TORQTRANSFER 835.3
    (0.0%)
    DOLFIN RUBBERS 210.0
    (4.2%)
    EL FORGE. 19.6
    (5.0%)
    ENDURANCE TECHNOLOGIES 1,959.2
    (1.5%)
    EXIDE INDUSTRIES 442.2
    (-0.6%)
    FEDERAL - MOGUL G 372.2
    (-3.9%)
    FIEM INDUSTRIES 1,199.1
    (2.4%)
    GABRIEL INDIA 352.9
    (0.4%)
    GKW. 2,416.0
    (-3.0%)
    GNA AXLES 415.2
    (0.1%)
    GS AUTO INT. 40.3
    (-1.2%)
    HAPPY FORGINGS LTD. 935.4
    (-2.3%)
    HI-TECH GEARS 1,161.1
    (5.0%)
    HIGH ENERGY 919.4
    (1.4%)
    HIM TEKNOFORGE 140.0
    (-0.1%)
    HIND HARDY SPICE 485.5
    (-1.6%)
    HIND.COMPOSI 422.5
    (0.5%)
    INDIA NIPPON 713.0
    (-0.3%)
    INDO NATIONAL 721.0
    (8.1%)
    IP RINGS 178.5
    (-1.0%)
    IST 981.8
    (1.0%)
    JAINEX AAMCOL 146.0
    (-0.6%)
    JAMNA AUTO 134.3
    (-0.2%)
    JAY BHARAT MARUTI 116.9
    (0.3%)
    JBM AUTO. 1,821.9
    (-0.1%)
    JTEKT INDIA 178.8
    (-1.0%)
    KRANTI INDUSTRIES 74.0
    (-0.0%)
    L.G.BALAKRISHNAN 1,308.1
    (-0.1%)
    LUMAX AUTO TECHNO 488.3
    (-1.0%)
    LUMAX IND 2,538.3
    (1.2%)
    MAH. SCOOTERS 8,053.9
    (-0.6%)
    MAKS ENERGY SOLUTIONS 61.5
    (-0.8%)
    MENON BEARINGS 130.6
    (0.0%)
    MENON PISTON 93.6
    (0.2%)
    MINDA CORPORATION 413.8
    (-0.1%)
    MOTHERSON SUMI WIRING 70.7
    (-0.4%)
    MUNJAL SHOWA 164.4
    (0.1%)
    NDR AUTO COMPONENTS 844.5
    (-0.5%)
    NEW SWAN MULTITECH LTD. 75.0
    (1.3%)
    NRB BEARINGS 315.8
    (-2.4%)
    NRB INDUSTRIAL 36.9
    (4.7%)
    OMAX AUTOS 119.9
    (2.0%)
    PAE 4.8
    (-1.8%)
    PANKAJ PIYUSH 94.3
    (-4.9%)
    PATTECH FITWELL TUBE COMPONENTS LTD. 89.5
    (2.3%)
    PORWAL AUTO 58.0
    (1.8%)
    PPAP AUTOMOTIVE 208.0
    (-0.5%)
    PRECISION CAMSHAFTS 214.9
    (1.1%)
    PRECISION METALIKS 51.3
    (2.2%)
    PRICOL 433.1
    (1.1%)
    PRITIKA ENGINEERING COMPONENTS LTD. 64.1
    (-2.8%)
    RACL GEARTECH 1,315.0
    (0.6%)
    RAJKUMAR FORGE 98.1
    (-4.2%)
    RAMKRISHNA FORG 764.5
    (-0.6%)
    RANE BRAKE 833.4
    (0.4%)
    RANE ENGINES 375.0
    (2.6%)
    RANE MADRAS 850.0
    (1.1%)
    RASANDIK ENG. 92.6
    (-1.3%)
    REMSONS IND. 967.7
    (1.7%)
    RICO AUTO 139.4
    (0.1%)
    ROLEX RINGS 1,863.0
    (-1.3%)
    SAI MOH AUTO LINKS 25.8
    (5.0%)
    SAL AUTOMOTIVE 545.2
    (-0.9%)
    SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON 127.0
    (0.2%)
    SANDHAR TECHNOLOGIES 518.4
    (-0.4%)
    SCHAEFFLER INDIA 3,284.6
    (-0.2%)
    SCHRADER DUNCAN 442.5
    (-1.4%)
    SETCO AUTOMOTIVE 12.2
    (5.0%)
    SHANTAI INDUSTRIES 36.0
    (-3.5%)
    SHIGAN QUANTUM 115.0
    (-2.3%)
    SHIVAM AUTOTECH 42.7
    (0.3%)
    SIBAR AUTO 12.5
    (-1.7%)
    SIMMONDS MARSHALL 90.4
    (1.7%)
    SINTERCOM INDIA 129.5
    (0.3%)
    SJS ENTERPRISES 616.8
    (0.9%)
    SKF INDIA 4,654.0
    (0.7%)
    SKP BEARING INDUSTRIES 235.6
    (-1.7%)
    SMITHS & FOUNDERS (INDIA) 5.5
    (2.4%)
    SNL BEARINGS 391.1
    (-0.9%)
    SONA COMSTAR 667.7
    (0.2%)
    STEEL STRIPS WHEELS 224.5
    (-0.8%)
    STERLING TOOLS 356.4
    (-0.2%)
    SUBROS. 651.6
    (7.3%)
    SUNDARAM BRAKE 719.0
    (0.5%)
    SUNDRAM FASTENERS 1,055.8
    (0.5%)
    SUPRAJIT ENGINEERING 417.0
    (-0.8%)
    TALBROS AUTO 300.2
    (0.1%)
    TAPARIA TOOL 3.7
    (4.8%)
    TIMKEN INDIA 3,189.0
    (0.6%)
    TIRUPATI FORGE 18.8
    (1.3%)
    TIRUPATI TYRES 68.5
    (-0.3%)
    TRITON VALVE 2,875.0
    (-0.4%)
    TVS HOLDINGS 8,408.5
    (0.3%)
    UCAL FUEL 191.5
    (5.1%)
    UNIVERSAL AUTOFOUNDRY 173.8
    (-1.3%)
    URAVI WEDGE LAMPS 403.8
    (0.9%)
    WHEELS INDIA 583.6
    (-2.6%)
    ZF COMMERCIAL 14,004.0
    (0.7%)
    ZF STEERING 1,085.0
    (-0.3%)

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