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Budget 2006-07: FMCG


The FMCG sector is back on track and is on the path to recovery. Growth is being witnessed in urban as well as rural areas. However, this time around, smaller companies have walked away with larger gains as they follow a simple strategy, give the retailer higher incentives than those given by larger brand owners thus encouraging the retail shop owner to push their products more. Further, almost all companies have set up units in tax havens like Himachal Pradesh, Uttaranchal and Assam, which offer them a 100% 10-year tax and 5-year excise benefit. Read more

 Budget Measures


  • Excise duty on Condensed milk abolished (16% earlier).

  • Excise duty on Pectines and Pectates, used as a gelling agent in Jams and Jellies abolished (16% earlier).

  • Excise duty on unbranded edible preparations of oil increased from nil to 8%.

  • Excise on biscuits manufactured without aid of power will now attract a duty of 8% (nil earlier).

  • Excise duty on Pasta reduced from 16% to nil.

  • Excise duty on ice-creams exempted

  • Excise on ready to eat packaged food reduced from 16% to 8%

  • Excise on instant food mixes exempted

  • Excise on soaps manufactured without power will now attract 16% duty

  • Excise duty on processed meat, fish and poultry products reduced from 8% to nil.

  • Excise duty on yeast exempted


     Budget Impact


  • Duty reduction on condensed milk is a positive for companies like Nestle.

  • Reduction in duty of gelling agents a positive for HLL, Dabur and Marico.

  • Imposition of excise on unbranded edible oils a positive for Marico.

  • Taxing unorganised biscuit sector a positive for Britannia.

  • Abolition of excise on pasta will aid listed players like ITC

  • Exemption of ice-creams from excise a positive for HLL

  • Reduction of excise on ready to eat packaged food is a positive for ITC and Nestle

  • Excise on soap manufactured without power to benefit HLL and Godrej Consumers.

  • Yeast is widely used in bread and biscuits which will benefit Britannia


     Sector Outlook


  • With 12.2% of the world population living in the villages of India, the Indian rural FMCG market is something no one can overlook. Growth potential for all the FMCG companies is huge as the per capita consumption of almost all products in the country is amongst the lowest in the world. Further, if these companies can change consumer’s mindset and offer new generation products, they would be able to generate higher growth in the future.


     Industry Wish List


  • Complete de-reservation of consumer products sector. If it happens, it will enable Indian companies to undertake manufacturing on a mass scale resulting in operational and quality efficiencies.

  • Quality check on imported FMCG products and effective enforcement of copyright laws. This would go a long way in filtering out import of sub-quality and discarded products, benefiting both the manufacturers and the consumers. Also, there should be a comprehensive policy to hit out at contraband imports.

  • More focus towards networking the food supply chain, which will enable free flow of food related products across the country, to the benefit of both manufacturers and consumers. For the government, it will mean effective utilisation of food stocks.

  • As per CII, excise duty difference between 'branded' and 'unbranded' food products existing at present should be removed to encourage consumers to move from unhygienic unbranded foods to hygienically packaged processed foods.


     Budget over the years


    Budget 2003-04 Budget 2004-05 Budget 2005-06

    Increased focus on agricultural reforms with an aim to integrate the countrywide food market

    Deregulation of the milk processing capacity

    Excise duty structure largely untouched. Only for tea, the duty was reduced from Rs 2 per Kg to Re 1

    Customs duty on tea and coffee doubled to 100%

    Duty on imported pulses upped to 80%

    Import duty on wine and liquor slashed from 210% to 180%

    Excise on biscuits reduced to 8% from 16%. Excise on soft drinks and sugar boiled confectionery also reduced

    All states to switch to VAT in FY04 (deadline now has been extended till end FY05)

    Loans to agriculture and to small-scale sector will now be available at maximum 2% above prime lending rate (PLR)

    Development plans for roads, ports, railways and airports

    Customs duty on alcoholic beverages reduced

    Increase in customs duty of refined palm oil to 75%

    Excise duty on dairy machinery hived off from 16%.

    Implementation of VAT across all states

    Concessional rate of 5% custom duty on tea and coffee machinery

    Excise duty on preparations of meat, poultry and fish halved to 8%

    Excise duty on food grade hexane (used in the edible oil industry) halved to 16%

    [Read more on Budget 2003-04] [Read more on Budget 2004-05] [Read more on Budget 2005-06]

    Key Positives
  • Growth potential: Rural penetration levels are still low. Also, according to estimates, only about 7% to 8% of the total food production (US$ 75 bn) is consumed in processed form. This speaks for itself, highlighting the scope for growth. The planned development of roads, ports, railways and airports, will increase FMCG penetration in the long term.

  • Increasing focus: Companies are increasingly focusing on key products and brands, cost efficiencies and rural markets to grow. This is a sign of market sophistication, both from the manufacturer's point of view as well as the consumer's point of view.

  • The India advantage: Owing to India's cost advantage, many MNC companies have started using their Indian operations as their manufacturing base. Alternatively, some Indian companies have tested foreign shores like Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, the Middle East and Pakistan among others.

  • Favourable tax structure: The introduction of VAT at the start of FY06 is a long term positive for the FMCG sector. This had been a long pending demand of the FMCG sector. Post this, the tax ambiguity will get reduced, benefiting the sector.

  • Modern trade growth robust: Modern retailing stores are the future and are growing at exponential rates. With the modernisation of the retail sector, rapid growth in sales of supermarkets, department stores and hypermarkets is inevitable due to the growing preference of the affluent and upper middle classes for shopping at these types of retail stores. Since FMCG companies have tied up with these retailers, growth for FMCG companies will also be faster.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Increasing competition: New entrants in the sector have heightened competition in key segments like soaps and detergents, putting pressure on profitability.

  • Monsoon related problems: Since demand for agricultural goods is strong, any lapse in output due to below than normal monsoons, can affect FMCG companies, as there will be a demand supply mismatch resulting in upward pressure on raw material prices.

  • Unorganised threat: A large part of the branded market continues to be threatened by spurious goods and illegal foreign imports, which remain a challenge for large companies, particularly during times of cyclical downturns.


    Budget Impact: FMCG Sector Analysis for 2005-06 | FMCG Sector Analysis for 2007-08
    Latest: Performance Of FMCG Stocks | FMCG Sector Report

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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs)
    ADANI WILMAR 336.2
    (0.0%)
    AMBO AGRITEC LTD. 25.0
    (8.7%)
    ARCHIES 32.0
    (-0.3%)
    AVT NATURAL 85.3
    (-0.3%)
    BABA AGRO FOOD LTD. 0.0
    (0.0%)
    BABA FOOD PROCESSING (INDIA) LTD. 55.8
    (-0.7%)
    BAJAJ CONSUMER CARE 227.3
    (-0.7%)
    BATA INDIA 1,343.6
    (0.3%)
    COLGATE 2,666.1
    (-1.3%)
    DABUR 504.1
    (0.0%)
    EMAMI 438.9
    (-1.0%)
    GILLETTE INDIA 6,477.1
    (0.5%)
    GKB OPHTHALMICS 93.9
    (2.8%)
    GODREJ AGROVET 548.4
    (3.8%)
    GODREJ CONSUMER 1,162.5
    (-1.3%)
    GOPAL SNACKS LTD. 314.2
    (-1.6%)
    GOYAL SALT LTD. 189.0
    (4.7%)
    HINDUSTAN UNILEVER 2,215.0
    (-0.3%)
    HIPOLIN. 148.0
    (0.0%)
    HUHTAMAKI INDIA 328.6
    (-0.5%)
    IFB AGRO INDUSTRIES 454.7
    (2.4%)
    ITALIAN EDIBLES LTD. 35.0
    (-2.2%)
    JAY KAILASH NAMKEEN LTD. 77.4
    (-2.6%)
    JYOTHY LABS 414.9
    (0.2%)
    KOKUYO CAMLIN 125.3
    (-0.3%)
    MADHUSUDAN MASALA LTD. 104.1
    (-1.4%)
    MAMAEARTH 382.5
    (-0.1%)
    MARICO 507.2
    (-0.2%)
    MIC ELECTRONICS 41.9
    (0.9%)
    MUKKA PROTEINS LTD. 36.2
    (-1.1%)
    MY FAIR LADY 0.7
    (1.4%)
    NAMAN IN-STORE (INDIA) LTD. 124.9
    (5.0%)
    NATURO INDIABULL 14.8
    (9.6%)
    ORIENT BEVER 311.7
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    P&G HYGIENE 16,012.6
    (1.3%)
    PARAMOUNT COSMETICS 41.0
    (3.8%)
    PG ELECTROPLAST 1,892.2
    (4.1%)
    PROVENTUS AGROCOM LTD. 1,000.0
    (0.0%)
    RADIX INDUSTR. 172.1
    (-1.5%)
    SHEELA FOAM 923.8
    (-1.3%)
    TAPI FRUIT PROCESSING LTD. 135.6
    (5.0%)
    TASTY DAIRY SPECIALITIES 10.9
    (0.3%)
    TATA CONSUMER 1,134.2
    (-0.1%)
    TRANSTEEL SEATING TECHNOLOGIES LTD. 70.1
    (-2.9%)

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