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Honest Truth by Ajit Dayal
Straight from the Hip by J Mulraj
BACK TO BUDGET HOMEPAGE

Budget 2008-09: Auto Ancillary


With around US$ 15 bn to be invested in the sector over the next 10 years, the Indian auto ancillary industry seems well on its way to take advantage of both the internal as well as external growth opportunities. Not to forget the growing capability of the Indian component suppliers whether be it in design and development or with respect to cost effective and flexible production. What more, the companies are also becoming increasingly global in their outlook, as evident from the growing overseas acquisitions and manufacturing foot-prints. However, rising input costs, infrastructural bottlenecks and talent transformation issues are likely to remain some of the key challenges. Hence, it will only be players with enough economies of scale and strong technical capabilities that will be able to translate the expected buoyant topline growth into equally impressive bottomline growth. Read more


 Budget Measures


  • Customs duty on steel melting and aluminium melting scrap reduced from 5% to 0%.
  • Reduction in excise duties in select segments of automobiles.
  • World-class skill development programme to be launched.
  • Dividend tax paid by parent company allowed to be set off against the same paid by its subsidiary.

     Budget Impact


  • Customs duty exemption on select metal scrap might reduce the raw material cost for some of the auto component players.
  • Excise duty reduction in select auto segments will help spur demand for automobiles, which in turn will benefit the components industry.
  • Skill development programme will help address skilled labor shortage problem in the future.

     Company Impact


  • Customs duty exemption on raw materials such as steel and aluminium scrap is a positive for certain forgings and castings players like Bharat Forge and Amtek Auto.
  • Excise duty reduction on automobiles as well as the proposed world class skill development programme will help all the players in the industry.

     Industry Wish List


  • The government should create a level playing field in terms of input costs and taxes thereof especially in light of the proposed FTAs with ASEAN and other countries like China
  • Tax incentives should be provided for setting up new industrial parks dedicated to auto and auto components so that India could be made a global manufacturing hub in the long run
  • The government should do away with the complexities of the current labour laws and make them much simpler so that the industry becomes more competitive.

     Budget over the years


    Budget 2005-06 Budget 2006-07 Budget 2007-08

    Customs duty on lead cut to 5%.

    Excise duty on tyres, tubes and flaps reduced from 24% to 16%

    No change in excise duty on automobiles.

    Customs duty reduction on select capital goods and inverted duty structures (i.e., the duty on input costs being higher than the product itself) reduced from 15% to 5% or 10%. Customs duty on the basic plastic material reduced to 10%. Customs duty on selected petro-chemicals reduced from 10% to 5%.

    Customs duty on natural rubber maintained at 70%. But peak customs duty reduced from 20% to 15%.

    VAT implemented in majority of the states.

    Peak custom duty reduced from 15% to 12.5%

    Excise duty on cars having engine capacity upto 1,200 cc (petrol based engines) and 1,500 cc (diesel based engines) and length of the car upto 4,000 mm reduced from 24% to 16%.

    Continued thrust on road infrastructure

    Custom duty on alloy steel and non-ferrous (primary and secondary) metals reduced from 10% to 7.5%

    A secondary and higher education cess @ 1% of the aggregate of duties of excise has been imposed on excisable goods including auto ancillaries. This would be in addition to existing education cess of 2% imposed in budget 2004

    Hike in the dividend distribution tax from the current 12.5% to 15%

    Vocational training programmes based on public-private partnerships to be initiated

    [Read more on Budget 2005-06] [Read more on Budget 2006-07] [Read more on Budget 2007-08]


    Key Positives
  • Auto industry potential: Since the auto component industry tracks the auto industry, the bright future of the latter augurs well for the former. As per the automotive mission plan 2016; the auto industry plans to achieve a domestic turnover of US$ 145 bn by 2016 and employ more than 25 m people. Hence, it is only natural to expect the auto ancillary industry to grow at a similar rate if not more.

  • The export story: With the Indian auto ancillary industry graduating to world class standards, it has caught the attention of a lot of global auto majors, all of whom are keen to outsource some of their work to India. Already, exports have logged in a growth of more than 30% in the past five years and are expected to grow at more than 20% atleast for the next 10 years. What is also noteworthy is the fact that exports to OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers now constitute more than 75% of total exports as against a mere 35% in the early nineties.

  • Technical proficiency: The entry of global players from different continents has led to the Indian manufacturer’s proficiency with all global automotive standards such as American, Japanese, Korean and European. It has also helped the global players to see for themselves the evolution of many auto components manufacturers and they are therefore now entrusting them with more work.

  • Quality consciousness: While the Indian manufacturing industry is not exactly known for its cutting edge technology and stringent quality standards, things are beginning to change. The fact that as many as nine companies boast of the coveted Deming awards is a testimony of the fact that the Indian auto ancillary industry is capable of manufacturing products that are at par with the best in the world in terms of quality. Not only this, about 81 companies in India have QS 9000 certification, considered to be an important pre-requisite for supplying to the US based OEM’s.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Rising costs: Prices of key inputs like steel and aluminium have remained firm over the last few years and this is hurting the profitability of the auto ancillary players. Further, with the auto companies themselves engaging in fierce competition, there is pressure on auto component players to further reduce prices and improve productivity. Thus, this squeeze from both the ends may not allow the smaller companies to invest suitably for future growth.

  • Competition from other Asian countries: While the Indian IT industry got a headstart over its rivals, the same cannot be said about the auto components industry as countries like China and Thailand might put a spanner in domestic industry's wheels. While China has huge economies of scale and lower labour cost than India in some areas, Thailand is believed to have excess capacity (legacy of East Asian crisis) and depreciated assets. Therefore, these countries are capable of beating India at its own game, that of low cost.


    Budget Impact: Auto Ancillaries Sector Analysis for 2007-08 | Auto Ancillaries Sector Analysis for 2009
    Latest: Performance Of Auto Ancillaries Stocks | Auto Ancillaries Sector Report


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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs)
    AFFORDABLE ROBOTIC & AUTOMATION 540.0
    (-1.9%)
    AKAR TOOLS L 113.2
    (0.2%)
    AMARA RAJA ENERGY & MOBILITY 1,110.3
    (-2.0%)
    AMIC FORGING LTD. 665.0
    (-0.7%)
    ASAHI INDIA 600.5
    (-0.4%)
    ASK AUTOMOTIVE LTD. 318.0
    (0.6%)
    AUTO CORP. OF GOA 2,010.0
    (-3.3%)
    AUTOLINE INDUST. 127.2
    (-0.8%)
    AUTOMOTIVE AXLES 1,880.6
    (0.6%)
    AUTOMOTIVE STAMP 828.9
    (1.5%)
    BANCO PRODUCTS 629.0
    (1.4%)
    BHARAT GEARS 119.9
    (-0.5%)
    BHARAT SEATS 155.1
    (1.0%)
    BIMETAL BEARINGS 636.0
    (-0.1%)
    BOMBAY CYCLE 1,498.8
    (-1.8%)
    BOSCH 28,775.5
    (-0.3%)
    CIE AUTOMOTIVE INDIA 490.8
    (0.8%)
    CRAFTSMAN AUTOMATION 4,675.0
    (1.6%)
    DECCAN BEARINGS 58.9
    (-1.3%)
    DIVGI TORQTRANSFER 837.9
    (0.4%)
    DOLFIN RUBBERS 207.4
    (2.9%)
    EL FORGE. 19.6
    (5.0%)
    ENDURANCE TECHNOLOGIES 1,921.8
    (-0.5%)
    EXIDE INDUSTRIES 435.2
    (-2.1%)
    FEDERAL - MOGUL G 375.7
    (-3.0%)
    FIEM INDUSTRIES 1,200.0
    (2.5%)
    GABRIEL INDIA 352.5
    (0.3%)
    GKW. 2,440.0
    (-2.1%)
    GNA AXLES 414.4
    (-0.0%)
    GS AUTO INT. 40.5
    (-0.6%)
    HAPPY FORGINGS LTD. 943.6
    (-1.5%)
    HI-TECH GEARS 1,115.0
    (0.8%)
    HIGH ENERGY 935.0
    (3.1%)
    HIM TEKNOFORGE 140.7
    (0.4%)
    HIND HARDY SPICE 493.0
    (-0.1%)
    HIND.COMPOSI 427.0
    (1.6%)
    INDIA NIPPON 718.2
    (0.4%)
    INDO NATIONAL 732.0
    (9.8%)
    IP RINGS 181.9
    (0.9%)
    IST 970.2
    (-0.1%)
    JAINEX AAMCOL 135.2
    (-8.0%)
    JAMNA AUTO 135.0
    (0.3%)
    JAY BHARAT MARUTI 116.8
    (0.1%)
    JBM AUTO. 1,817.0
    (-0.3%)
    JTEKT INDIA 179.5
    (-0.6%)
    KRANTI INDUSTRIES 75.6
    (2.1%)
    L.G.BALAKRISHNAN 1,309.5
    (-0.0%)
    LUMAX AUTO TECHNO 493.9
    (0.2%)
    LUMAX IND 2,542.8
    (1.4%)
    MAH. SCOOTERS 8,110.0
    (0.0%)
    MAKS ENERGY SOLUTIONS 61.5
    (-0.8%)
    MENON BEARINGS 129.9
    (-0.5%)
    MENON PISTON 93.0
    (-0.4%)
    MINDA CORPORATION 410.3
    (-1.0%)
    MOTHERSON SUMI WIRING 70.6
    (-0.5%)
    MUNJAL SHOWA 165.0
    (0.4%)
    NDR AUTO COMPONENTS 845.0
    (-0.5%)
    NEW SWAN MULTITECH LTD. 74.3
    (0.4%)
    NRB BEARINGS 319.6
    (-1.2%)
    NRB INDUSTRIAL 37.1
    (5.2%)
    OMAX AUTOS 119.9
    (2.0%)
    PAE 4.8
    (-1.8%)
    PANKAJ PIYUSH 104.1
    (4.9%)
    PATTECH FITWELL TUBE COMPONENTS LTD. 91.0
    (4.0%)
    PORWAL AUTO 59.4
    (4.3%)
    PPAP AUTOMOTIVE 210.0
    (0.5%)
    PRECISION CAMSHAFTS 215.3
    (1.3%)
    PRECISION METALIKS 51.3
    (2.3%)
    PRICOL 434.0
    (1.3%)
    PRITIKA ENGINEERING COMPONENTS LTD. 64.1
    (-2.8%)
    RACL GEARTECH 1,310.7
    (0.3%)
    RAJKUMAR FORGE 102.0
    (-0.4%)
    RAMKRISHNA FORG 772.5
    (0.5%)
    RANE BRAKE 832.7
    (0.4%)
    RANE ENGINES 364.6
    (-0.3%)
    RANE MADRAS 846.4
    (0.6%)
    RASANDIK ENG. 95.0
    (1.3%)
    REMSONS IND. 962.9
    (1.2%)
    RICO AUTO 139.8
    (0.4%)
    ROLEX RINGS 1,865.8
    (-1.2%)
    SAI MOH AUTO LINKS 25.8
    (5.0%)
    SAL AUTOMOTIVE 561.9
    (2.2%)
    SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON 126.8
    (-0.0%)
    SANDHAR TECHNOLOGIES 519.4
    (-0.2%)
    SCHAEFFLER INDIA 3,283.2
    (-0.2%)
    SCHRADER DUNCAN 453.9
    (1.1%)
    SETCO AUTOMOTIVE 12.2
    (5.0%)
    SHANTAI INDUSTRIES 36.0
    (-3.5%)
    SHIGAN QUANTUM 117.7
    (0.0%)
    SHIVAM AUTOTECH 43.0
    (0.9%)
    SIBAR AUTO 12.9
    (1.4%)
    SIMMONDS MARSHALL 88.2
    (-0.8%)
    SINTERCOM INDIA 130.0
    (0.7%)
    SJS ENTERPRISES 616.8
    (0.9%)
    SKF INDIA 4,642.0
    (0.5%)
    SKP BEARING INDUSTRIES 239.5
    (-0.1%)
    SMITHS & FOUNDERS (INDIA) 5.4
    (1.1%)
    SNL BEARINGS 395.0
    (0.1%)
    SONA COMSTAR 662.3
    (-0.7%)
    STEEL STRIPS WHEELS 227.5
    (0.5%)
    STERLING TOOLS 359.2
    (0.6%)
    SUBROS. 628.9
    (3.6%)
    SUNDARAM BRAKE 719.0
    (0.5%)
    SUNDRAM FASTENERS 1,060.7
    (1.0%)
    SUPRAJIT ENGINEERING 418.5
    (-0.5%)
    TALBROS AUTO 298.4
    (-0.5%)
    TAPARIA TOOL 3.7
    (4.8%)
    TIMKEN INDIA 3,175.0
    (0.2%)
    TIRUPATI FORGE 18.5
    (-0.3%)
    TIRUPATI TYRES 68.7
    (-0.0%)
    TRITON VALVE 2,930.0
    (1.6%)
    TVS HOLDINGS 8,582.4
    (2.4%)
    UCAL FUEL 184.0
    (1.0%)
    UNIVERSAL AUTOFOUNDRY 176.8
    (0.4%)
    URAVI WEDGE LAMPS 411.2
    (2.8%)
    WHEELS INDIA 581.2
    (-3.0%)
    ZF COMMERCIAL 14,142.4
    (1.7%)
    ZF STEERING 1,113.0
    (2.3%)

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