The Robber Barons of India

Sep 22, 2015

- By Vivek Kaul

Vivek Kaul
In his latest book Other People's Money-Masters of the Universe or Servants of the People?, the British economist John Kay talks about the robber barons of the United States, who lived through the late nineteenth and the early twentieth century.

As Kay writes: "The late nineteenth century is described as 'the gilded age' of American capitalism. The dominant figures of that era - men such as Henry Clay Frick, Jay Gould, J.P. Morgan, John D. Rockefeller and Cornelius Vanderbilt - are often called the 'robber barons.'"

These robber barons helped build the railroads, oil supply systems and steel mills of the United States. As Kay writes: "They were both industrialists and financers, in varying degrees...But their immense personal wealth was as much the product of financial manipulation as of productive activity."

Now replace United States with India, and you can see the similarities. While the United States had robber barons in the nineteenth and the early twentieth century, India has had them in the twentieth and the twenty-first century.

The Reserve Bank of India governor explained the finance skills of Indian businessmen in great detail in a speech he made in November 2014. As Rajan said: "The reason so many projects are in trouble today is because they were structured up front with too little equity, sometimes borrowed by the promoter from elsewhere. And some promoters find ways to take out the equity as soon as the project gets going, so there really is no cushion when bad times hit."

Advertisement
  The "Crash Score" Report  
  Is there a way to predict a stock price crash? A way you could've seen the collapse of Satyam...

BEFORE it actually happened!

Well, our research team has just released our Latest Special Report that reveals a way to calculate the "Crash Score".

A simple calculation that allows you to find out, and avoid investing in, high-risk stocks which are likely to crash in near future.

In fact, it also contains a list of 20 stocks which rank high on this Crash Score right now!

So, don't delay and Click here to instantly download your FREE copy of The "Crash Score" Report...

 

What Rajan was essentially saying here is that many Indian businessmen start a project with very little of their own money invested in it. Further, some of them even manage to tunnel out this small investment as soon as the project starts. This is typically done by over stating the cost of the project, borrowing against the higher number and then tunnelling out a portion of the debt that has been taken on to get the project going.

Also, in the last few years, many Indian businessmen have taken on more bank loans than they could have possibly repaid. They have subsequently defaulted on it or renegotiated the terms, leaving the banks in a lurch. Interestingly, even after defaulting on their loans, they have continued to be in positions of control.

As Rajan said during the course of his speech: "In much of the globe, when a large borrower defaults, he is contrite and desperate to show that the lender should continue to trust him with management of the enterprise. In India, too many large borrowers insist on their divine right to stay in control despite their unwillingness to put in new money. The firm and its many workers, as well as past bank loans, are the hostages in this game of chicken -- the promoter threatens to run the enterprise into the ground unless the government, banks, and regulators make the concessions that are necessary to keep it alive."

And if after all this, the business comes back to health, the businessmen tends to benefit the most. As Rajan said: "The promoter retains all the upside, forgetting the help he got from the government or the banks - after all, banks should be happy they got some of their money back!  No wonder government ministers worry about a country where we have many sick companies but no "sick" promoters."

These businessmen over the years have survived on essentially manipulating the system (or what we like to call jugaad) and surviving on multiple doles from the government. This is something that Rajan clearly pointed out in a recent speech, where he said: "India must resist special interest pleas for targeted stimulus, additional tax breaks and protections, directed credit, subventions and subsidies, all of which have historically rendered industry uncompetitive, government over-extended, and the country incapable of regaining its rightful position amongst nations."

But this is easier said than done, given that India's businessmen have always operated like this. The question is how can this change? Kay has a possible answer in his book Other People's Money, where he suggests that the United States went from strength to strength after the links between finance and business were loosened.

As he writes: "While the 'robber barons' were both financers and businessmen, the leading industrialists of the first half of the twentieth century - men such as Alfred Sloan of General Motors and Harry McGowan of ICI - were primarily businessmen. Their skill was in developing the systems and cadre of professional managers needed to run a modern corporation."

This is possible if banks go after corporates defaulting on loans with great zeal, which they currently lack. Further, a new class of capitalists needs to flourish.

The Prime Minister Narendra Modi in a recent meeting with India's biggest businessmen asked them to increase their risk taking appetite. As the president of the Confederation of Indian Industry, a business lobby, told the media after the meeting with Modi: "Prime Minister has said that industry must take risk and increase investments...we must go out and invest."

The trouble is India's incumbent businessmen are not the risk taking type. As Dipankar Gupta wrote in a recent column in The Times of India: "Till the 1980s Indian businesses were shielded from foreign competition, and they returned this favour by not introducing a single innovation above street-corner jugaad...Even after liberalisation came to India in the 1990s, this risk aversion among Indian capitalists stayed firm and remained protected by a friendly state. This can best be seen in the advocacy and implementation of the current Public Private Partnership (PPP) model."

Hence, expecting such businessmen to suddenly start taking risk is a tad absurd. That ain't happening. So what is the way out? As I said earlier, India needs a new class of capitalists. And for that to happen, as Rajan said the other day, it is important "to improve regulation by focusing on what is absolutely necessary to create a sound business environment."

Publisher's Note: Vivek Kaul, the India Editor of the Daily Reckoning, just made a bold call - Real Estate prices are headed for a fall. Well, if you are someone who is looking to buy real estate, or is just interested in the space, I recommend you read Vivek's detailed views in his just published report "The (In)Complete Guide To Real Estate". To claim your copy of this Free Report, just reconfirm your Free subscription to the Daily Reckoning...

Vivek Kaul is the Editor of the Diary and The Vivek Kaul Letter. Vivek is a writer who has worked at senior positions with the Daily News and Analysis (DNA) and The Economic Times, in the past. He is the author of the Easy Money trilogy. The latest book in the trilogy Easy Money: The Greatest Ponzi Scheme Ever and How It Is Set to Destroy the Global Financial System was published in March 2015. The books were bestsellers on Amazon. His writing has also appeared in The Times of India, The Hindu, The Hindu Business Line, Business World, Business Today, India Today, Business Standard, Forbes India, Deccan Chronicle, The Asian Age, Mutual Fund Insight, Wealth Insight, Swarajya, Bangalore Mirror among others.

Disclaimer: The views mentioned above are of the author only. Data and charts, if used, in the article have been sourced from available information and have not been authenticated by any statutory authority. The author and Equitymaster do not claim it to be accurate nor accept any responsibility for the same. The views constitute only the opinions and do not constitute any guidelines or recommendation on any course of action to be followed by the reader. Please read the detailed Terms of Use of the web site.

Recent Articles

Using Deposits to Rescue Banks is a Bad Idea; It Needs to Be Nipped in the Bud December 11, 2017
The Financial Resolution and Deposit Insurance(FRDI) Bill proposes to do just this.
5 Agents of Change Investors Need to Know About Now December 11, 2017
The world is changing fast right now in ways that many investors might not easily recognize or want to admit. If you're not paying attention, you could be letting opportunities pass you by without even realizing it.
Why Economists Are Morons December 9, 2017
Why are most modern economists such nincompoops? The quick answer: because it pays.
Bitcoin is the Best Offshore Bank Account December 8, 2017
The biggest advantage bitcoin has over offshore banks is that it's truly offshore. Not just off Britain's shores, but off every country's shores.

Equitymaster requests your view! Post a comment on "The Robber Barons of India". Click here!

7 Responses to "The Robber Barons of India"

Nikhanj

Sep 23, 2015

Since Indepence-1947, Indians were gripped by the central and state bureaucrats, who under a nationalistic spirit managed to shield India from the outside world. Regimented appointments of bright IAS graduates in government jobs could not develop a commercially viable bottomline concept of any publicly funded project-no different than a Russian bureaucrat. Indian business has grown in a non-competetive shielded envoronment, where the self enrichment at the expense of the national interest prevelent. Any Inian based venture cap fund carries a literal zero risk apatite. I am glad that Mr. Rajan and Mr. Modi are starting to see thru the the risk averting businessmen of India. A few risk taking Indians, the likes of Tatas and Ambanis has helped India to shine on the global commerce. India must open up to the FDI in resource exploration, power and telecommunication sectors in a more dramatic expedited way. A competetive business climate will induce risk taking apatite in the Indian businessmen. Unfortunately, here the genetic mind set justifies unethical selfish mode of operation.

Like 

Rajendra

Sep 22, 2015

perfect analysis.

Like 

Praveen

Sep 22, 2015

The article states that the US robber barons helped build the railroads, oil supply systems and steel mills of the United States. But their so called Indian counterparts have built their personal wealth but not the country. Maybe that is the difference in the growth of the US vs India

Like 

Rahul Dargar

Sep 22, 2015

''The trouble is India's incumbent businessmen are not the risk taking type.'' According to me, the real trouble is elsewhere. Political parties need black money to fight elections for which they depend on Industrialists, who can manipulate the politicians to minimize risks to their business & personal interests.
No major political party is interested in election reforms, that can address this problem.
Compare the risk taking abilities of Subrato Roy, Anil Ambani & Azim Premji. One in jail..

Like 

MANJUNATHAN BELLUR

Sep 22, 2015

Please relate this article to your articles on NPA in banking industry . You can arrive the real reasons for NPA in India . The attitude of business men " Head I win and tail you lose " in the partnership of entrepreneurs with bankers while taking the loan is starting point of all NPAS . As loans become bigger , lenders become weaker ., just to dance to the tune of borrowers .
Unless breed of real entrepreneurs like NRN multiply , the grim position of banking in India will continue .

Like 

swapan

Sep 22, 2015

i enterly agree with what rajan observed.so many economists made their right obsevations yet no strict action was taken either by goverment or by chambers of business association. perhaps swaraj paul gave a push by theatening take over some large business houses.push of swaraj paul taught the promoters contributin as little as 5 to ten per cent of capital wlile enjoying a princely life style at the expenses borne the company

Like 

RAVI KATARI

Sep 22, 2015

He is absolutely right. The only defence one might put up is that perhaps this is the learning curve that a democracy needs to go through in its formative years. In many ways, aside from the 'robber baron' analogy, we are, in our 68th year, far better placed than the USA was in the equivalent period i.e. 1844. Slavery, no female emancipation, genocide of native Americans and a Civil war around the corner. I believe that todays Indian robber barons will be tomorrows philanthropists just like JP Morgan, Rockefeller etc. However, a few strict examples need to be made such as Kingfisher Airlines.

Like 
  
Equitymaster requests your view! Post a comment on "The Robber Barons of India". Click here!