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  • Mar 12, 2022 - The Penny Stocks Opportunity is Not Over. Here's How to Play It...

The Penny Stocks Opportunity is Not Over. Here's How to Play It...

Mar 12, 2022

The Penny Stocks Opportunity is Not Over. Heres How to Play It

Hindusthan National Glass, down a whopping 67% in 2022 so far.

Ballarpur Industries, down a massive 65% in 2022 so far.

Birla Precision, down 53% in 2022 so far.

Sintex Industries, down 52% in 2022 so far.

Indowind Energy, down 49% in 2022 so far.

The list goes on...

Out of the 1,950 penny stocks (stocks trading under Rs 100) actively trading as of 1 January 2022, 1,163 of them have generated negative returns so far in 2022.

A couple hundred of them are trading more or less near the same levels they were trading at the start of this year.

And there are a few, 62 to be precise, that have generated multibagger returns from 100% to 872%.

These results came up when we ran a query on how penny stocks are performing this year. By the way, you can check out the best performing penny stocks of 2022 here.

Well, as the losses show, investing in penny stocks is not a bed of roses. The euphoria around penny stocks among rookie, retail investors in India is getting crazier day by day.

How often do you see a stock go up over 800% in a span of just 2 months! Or a stock that entirely wipes out your wealth during the same time frame?

If you've invested in penny stocks in 2022, you know by now that it's a challenging mix. You've likely seen how volatile the stock market is.

If blue-chip stocks like HDFC and HDFC Bank too are falling, you know that it's a warning sign and an indication that we're in for a volatile ride ahead.

So, during volatile periods like the one we're currently in, it's important to be very selective when it comes to penny stocks. One must have penny stocks that regularly pay out dividends so that the downside is capped.

Penny stocks with strong pay outs and strong balance sheets usually survive a crash better than other stocks.

We're not just saying this out of random assumptions. The numbers back the data.

After the bull market between 2014 and 2017, the next couple of years turned out to be brutal for mid and small caps, the segments where most of the penny stocks come from.

First, the small cap index fell 23% in 2018. Then fell by another 34% over the next 15 months. This resulted in a huge meltdown of 50% from top to bottom. Ouch!

Strong gains of the bull market of 2014 to 2017 were being completely wiped out in this crash. It was stock market carnage at its worst.

During the 2018 period, penny stocks which had the highest median payouts of the past five years fared in similar lines as the BSE small cap index. A couple of them fell more but the numbers were higher for the stocks which fared in line with the smallcap index.

Some of them ended in the positive too. Indian Energy Exchange (IEX), Goldiam International, Firstsource Solutions, Generic Engineering, Birla Cable, and the likes, which were profitable and paid out regular dividends.

In the next 15 months too, when the smallcap index fell 34% between January 2019-March 2020, stocks which paid dividends and had a rock-solid balance sheets fared well.

Company Name Debt to Equity (x) Net Profit (Rs m) Avg. Dividend Payout (%) Change (%)
NMDC Ltd. 0.02 38,058.8 68.2 -16%
Bharat Electronics Ltd. 0.00 13,992.9 35.9 -15%
National Aluminium Company Ltd. 0.00 13,424.1 132.3 -55%
SJVN Ltd. 0.18 12,248.8 58.2 -19%
The Federal Bank Ltd. 0.71 8,788.5 17.8 -56%
CESC Ltd. 0.64 8,617.1 20.6 -39%
Vakrangee Ltd. 0.00 6,626.2 42.7 -43%
PC Jeweller Ltd. 0.58 5,674.0 4.5 -87%
SpiceJet Ltd. -0.69 5,666.5 0.0 -59%
GMDC 0.00 4,282.3 37.5 -65%
Sequent Scientific Ltd. 0.04 4,064.1 13.3 15%
Ircon International Ltd. 0.00 3,879.0 66.0 -15%
Prakash Industries Ltd. 0.20 3,862.5 0.7 -76%
Jindal Saw Ltd. 0.55 3,858.0 11.5 -46%
Jaiprakash Associates Ltd. 0.82 3,517.1 0.0 -86%
Karur Vysya Bank Ltd. 0.18 3,456.7 18.3 -78%
NBCC (India) Ltd. 0.00 3,336.1 37.9 -72%
PTC India Ltd. 0.24 3,192.0 39.0 -58%
Welspun India Ltd. 0.81 3,041.1 21.1 -64%
NCC Ltd. 0.37 2,868.0 12.8 -79%
Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. 0.74 2,810.8 20.3 -95%
Data Source: Ace Equity
Financial figures as of March 2020
5-year average dividend payout

Of course, there were a few which fell more. Like PC Jeweller, Jaiprakash Associates, Jain Irrigation and the likes, which were already under scrutiny. And the late crash of March 2020 hammered even quality stocks.

The point we're trying to make here is that it's important to stick to penny stocks which pay dividends regularly, during volatile periods. They usually survive a crash better than other stocks.

Here's a list of penny stocks which have been paying regular dividends, have reported profits for the past three years, and have a debt to equity ratio of less than 1.

Company Name Price as on 10 March '22
IDFC Ltd. 56.5
Manaksia Ltd. 74.1
Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd. 84.0
Geojit Financial Services Ltd. 63.2
Radix Industries (India) Ltd. 70.2
Take Solutions Ltd. 39.2
Ircon International Ltd. 41.4
Engineers India Ltd. 65.1
L&T Finance Holdings Ltd. 65.6
SJVN Ltd. 29.0
Meera Industries Ltd. 97.7
NG Industries Ltd. 62.0
Edelweiss Financial Services Ltd. 53.2
JM Financial Ltd. 65.0
Tamboli Capital Ltd. 67.8
Ador Fontech Ltd. 72.1
Sicagen India Ltd. 23.5
Data Source: Ace Equity

The stocks mentioned in the tables above are not recommendations.

What about allocation?

What next after you've selected the best penny stocks to buy in 2022?

You can make the most of penny stocks by allocating your capital efficiently. That is, moving the allocation between penny stocks and fixed deposits.

As we're dealing with penny stocks, it's always important to keep some money off the table.

So, instead of parking your total capital in penny stocks at one go, allocate small equal parts periodically over an extended period.

Don't make the mistake of loading up on penny stocks at any stage of the market price cycle.

For example, let's say you have Rs 100. Start with allocating Rs 25 each to penny stocks and fixed deposits from the corpus of Rs 100. Keep at least 25% in both assets and never go 100% in either.

Then, allocate the remaining Rs 50 based on how closer you think we are to the top or to the bottom of the market cycle. If you think the markets are expensive, allocate the remaining Rs 50 entirely to fixed deposits or again allocate Rs 25 each to both the asset classes.

The beauty of this approach is that you are always in 'crash protection' mode as you are never 100% invested in penny stocks.

Interesting, isn't it?

This is exactly the strategy Co-head of Research at Equitymaster, and systems investing guru, Rahul Shah follows for his penny stocks service Exponential Profits.

Investors who have money waiting on the sidelines can use the market correction as an opportunity to allocate more.

To conclude...

Don't panic amid the volatility and stick to a process.

In penny stock investing, it's very important to distinguish between penny stocks that are investment worthy and the ones that are highly speculative.

Brace yourselves for a bumpy ride ahead in 2022 as the inflation bells are still ringing and geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine seem far from over.

With a clear strategy by your side, your journey can turn out to be relatively more comfortable.

Don't forget to check out the video below where Rahul Shah lists out the penny stocks that should be on your 2022 watchlist.

Happy Penny Stock Investing!

Disclaimer: This article is for information purposes only. It is not a stock recommendation and should not be treated as such. Learn more about our recommendation services here...

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