Here is One Chinese Story that Narendra Modi Needs to Listen to - Vivek Kaul's Diary
Free Reports

Here is One Chinese Story that Narendra Modi Needs to Listen to

Jan 11, 2016

28

The Chinese economic growth story started in 1978 with Deng Xiaoping taking charge of the Chinese Communist Party. Interestingly, Xiaoping did not hold any official post. Nevertheless, he was looked upon as the Supreme Leader of China between 1978 and 1992. Most accounts of China's astonishing double digit growth for close to three decades give credit to Xiaoping for initiating Chinese economic growth and pulling out millions of people out of poverty in a very short period of time. History when it gets written is built around the idea of Great Men doing great things. But things are never as simple as that.

As Matt Ridley writes in The Evolution of Everything: "If you examine closely what happened in China in 1978, it was a more evolutionary story than is usually assumed. It all began in the countryside with the 'privatisation' of collective farms to allow individual ownership of land and of harvests. But this change was not ordered from above by a reforming government."


Advertisement
  Equitymaster Conference 2016  
23rd January. Mumbai, India
   
  It gives us great pleasure in extending you an invitation to join us at the Equitymaster Conference 2016. This is going to be one of our most important Conferences ever! And I strongly recommend you attend it.

At the Equitymaster Conference, our best ever line up of speakers, starting with Ajit Dayal (Founder, Equitymaster) and Bill Bonner (Founder, Agora Inc.) will aim to address all your questions about the current investment environment, thereby help you in planning your next steps. Including...

»  Where are the stock markets headed?
»  What should be your investment strategy for Indian stocks?
»  Is it finally time to get bullish on real estate?
»  Is the Gold story over?
»  What's next for India's economy, and the Indian Rupee?

Plus, at the Conference you will get an opportunity to rub shoulders with not just our speakers, but also like-minded investors from across India (Last year we welcomed guests from 33 cities, and 3 countries).

So if you are serious about your investments, The Equitymaster Conference 2016 is something you cannot afford to miss. More details about the Conference and our speaker line up are available here.

We suggest you move very fast on this invitation.

Reserve your seat under our 'Early Bird' opportunity!
 

In the village of Xiaogang, 18 farmers came together. They despaired the dismal production of their farms under the collective system. And they did not like the fact that they had to beg for food from other villages. Given this, one evening they gathered together to figure out what they could do. This was at a time when even holding a meeting was considered a serious crime.

As Ridley writes: "The first, brave man to speak was Yen Jinchang, who suggested that each family should own what it grew, and that they should divide the collective's land among the families. On a precious scrap of paper he wrote down a contract that they all signed...The families went to work on the land, starting before the official's whistle blew each morning and ending long after the day's work was supposed to finish."

And this soon stared to show results. "Incentivised by the knowledge that they could profit from their work, in the first year they grew more food than the land had produced in previous five years combined," writes Ridley.

Of course, the local communist party bosses soon came to know. The regional communist party chief intervened to save Yen and at the same time recommended that the same experiment should be copied elsewhere as well. "This was the proposal that eventually reached Deng Xiaoping's desk. He chose not to stand in the way, that was all. But it was not until 1982 that the party officially recognised that family farms could be allowed - by which time they were everywhere," writes Ridley.

The economic incentives of private ownership rapidly transformed farming in China and industry soon followed. While the Communist Party still continues to rule the country, the economic success of China wasn't built on socialism. And there is a thing or two that Indian politicians can learn from this, given their obsession with socialism.

Private firms are normally better at running businesses than the government. This is something that politicians including prime minister Narendra Modi need to understand. As TN Ninan writes in The Turn of the Tortoise-The Challenge and Promise of India's Future: "The last quarter century's experience has shown that when the private sector is asked to provide telecom services, run airlines and airports, build and run ports, undertake banking, distribute electricity and even undertake water supply, the result is usually (though not always, for there is no shortage of private banks and airlines that have failed) a substantial improvement on what, the government was doing until then."

This is basically means two things. One is that the government should be getting out of all the businesses that it has been trying to run for all these years. This is a point that I have often made in the past. There is no point in the government running more than 25 banks. There is no point in the government running a phone company or an airline for that matter. It does not serve any purpose.

As Ninan writes: "It is a matter of regret that Narendra Modi, who got elected on the promise of 'minimum government, maximum governance', has shown no taste for radical change or minimizing government...The government system continues to run loss-making airlines and hotels, three-wheeler units and Mahanagar Telephone Nigam."

Also, in its effort to do everything, the government doesn't pay adequate attention to many important areas. As Ninan writes: "There is too little of government attention paid to core areas like law and order, education and health-too few judges, too few teachers who teach, too few hospital beds; also too few trade negotiators and too few policemen, especially those with proper training. It should be obvious that there are many things that the state does inadequately or badly, and many tasks that the state has needlessly taken on itself."

The second point here is that the government should be encouraging entrepreneurship in all possible ways. One point against entrepreneurship are India's multiple labour laws. But they may not be as much of a problem as they are made out to be.

It is often argued that Indian entrepreneurs do not expand beyond a certain point because it is very difficult to fire workers once they have been taken on. The Chapter VB of the Industrial Disputes Act, 1947, makes it very difficult for companies with 100 employees or more, to fire an employee without the permission from the government. This, it is argued, prevents entrepreneurs from expanding.

Economist Pranab Bardhan makes an interesting point in Globalisation, Democracy and Corruption: "It is not clear that the rigid law on retrenchment is always the binding constraint on manufacturing expansion. Take the highly labour-intensive garments industry, for example. A combined dataset [of both the formal and informal sectors] shows that about 92 per cent of garment firms in India have fewer than eight employees...Labour law cannot discourage an eight-employee firm from expanding to an 80-employee firm since Chapter VB of the Industrial Disputes Act does not kick in until the firm reaches the size of 100 employees."

So what is stopping these firms from expanding? "The binding constrains on the expansion of that eight-employee firm may have to do with inadequate credit and marketing opportunity, erratic power supply, wretched roads, bureaucratic regulations etc. There are good statistical studies by some economists which show that states with more rigid labour laws have had lower industrial growth and that labour laws can be a constraint. But these studies do not show that they are the only or even the main constraint," writes Bardhan.

What this tells us very clearly is that the Modi government should work towards removing these binding constraints. This will allow entrepreneurship to flourish. That will lead to more jobs, better pays, higher spending and in the process, higher economic growth.

Vivek Kaul is the Editor of the Diary and The Vivek Kaul Letter. Vivek is a writer who has worked at senior positions with the Daily News and Analysis (DNA) and The Economic Times, in the past. He is the author of the Easy Money trilogy. The latest book in the trilogy Easy Money: The Greatest Ponzi Scheme Ever and How It Is Set to Destroy the Global Financial System was published in March 2015. The books were bestsellers on Amazon. His writing has also appeared in The Times of India, The Hindu, The Hindu Business Line, Business World, Business Today, India Today, Business Standard, Forbes India, Deccan Chronicle, The Asian Age, Mutual Fund Insight, Wealth Insight, Swarajya, Bangalore Mirror among others.

Disclaimer: The views mentioned above are of the author only. Data and charts, if used, in the article have been sourced from available information and have not been authenticated by any statutory authority. The author and Equitymaster do not claim it to be accurate nor accept any responsibility for the same. The views constitute only the opinions and do not constitute any guidelines or recommendation on any course of action to be followed by the reader. Please read the detailed Terms of Use of the web site.

Recent Articles

Deep State First August 23, 2017
Nowhere was the darkness deeper than in the nation's capital. There, no light shone. No flicker of awareness...observation...learning...or reflection appeared.
A Darkness Is Spreading Across the US August 22, 2017
Today, we are attacked by one preposterous thing after another, each of them even more absurd than the last.
Dear PM Modi, India is Already Land of Self-Employed, and It Ain't Working August 21, 2017
Most Indians who cannot find jobs, look at becoming self-employed.
Trump Takes a Beating August 18, 2017
Donald J Trump, a wrasslin' fan, took a 'Holy Sh*t!' blow on Tuesday.

Equitymaster requests your view! Post a comment on "Here is One Chinese Story that Narendra Modi Needs to Listen to". Click here!

16 Responses to "Here is One Chinese Story that Narendra Modi Needs to Listen to"

J M Khanna

Jan 13, 2016

Could u please send me again a copy of your note on "What Narendr Modi should do in 2016" My copy may have been deleted by mistake.

Thanks

Like 

P V Ranganathan

Jan 13, 2016

Poola
The last sentence of your article: But that is exactly what Mr. Modi is trying to do

Like 

Sundaravaradan S

Jan 12, 2016

Hi People,

What Central Govt. proposes.....State Govt./Opposition disposes...! (GST, Land-Bills, etc.etc.).
Regarding Collective Farming in India...here is the references...

//www.google.co.in/search?q=collective+farming+in+Andhra&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwibj7PkzaTKAhXOkY4KHbL1B88QsAQIKQ&biw=1024&bih=487

//www.thehindu.com/sci-tech/agriculture/collective-farming-by-women-in-kerala/article2591995.ece

//smallplanet.org/content/one-million-dalit-women-andhra-pradesh-collectively-farm


Like 

PN

Jan 12, 2016

I am sure Vivek kaul is a very learned person and i am not an expert in finance & economics, however I find the articles by vivek very pessimistic about the conditions in india and another observations about the experts in media are one's who are eager to adopt anything from the western or other countries without having any thoughts on what can work in india for indians. I would like to see if there articles which highlights the success stories in India rather than painting a sorry picture about us.

Like 

SANJEEV KUMAR SINGH

Jan 12, 2016

A very simplistic suggestion for a complex problem. I am an employee of a private organisation in power and infrastructure sector. I can only tell privatisation has led to a very growth and a few people have become stinking rich at the cost of the nation. I find private run corporations as very bad in terms of governance and they are not good in terms of efficiency either. The decision are made at promoters whims and fancy. They take risk without considering consequences.They all siphon money at the cost of the company. When companies goes down due to greed and dacoity of the promoters, employees only suffer. In such situations I find collectives unions have been able to bargain some good settlements for the workers. A few companies / group appears to make effort to make business sustainable. In my opinion that unbridled privatisation , hire and fire policy and other retrograde steps suggested by you are nothing a sure shot recipe for disaster. You cannot justify the such retrograde steps by citing a few failures. The suggestions are too simplistic and should be trashed. In my opinion there are many public sector companies which are far better operated than a private sector. Government airline company was made to bleed by a private person for his own personal greed and it has never been run in a professional manner.It depends on the type of management, the way it is managed and how it cares for its employee and the society. A private greed definitely is not a solution. Since you read lot of books , I would suggest you read "At the Helm" by V Krishnamurthy. It gives lot of insight why a few public sector companies failed and why others survived. Private run companies are basically run by individuals or group of individuals who have super egos, they behave like a feudal lord and learn nothing from their mistakes . They feel that they and their family members are god incarnated on earth to run companies. Such people and companies can never be efficient or adding value to society.

Like (1)

anurag

Jan 11, 2016

if modi follow advices of the article then we will face hundred of protest every day in addition to what political parties are doing in parliament. nevertheless a very valid point has been brought out

Like (1)

Madhvendra Singh

Jan 11, 2016

The reason most firms employ only 8 people or less is because when they come up to ten employees they have to enrol in the Employees State Insurance Scheme ! Unfortunately this is an expense most employees do not want to take on.

Like (1)

Sudhir

Jan 11, 2016

Collectivisation has never been the issue for India's farmers. Inadequate finance, crop insurance, indebtedness and skewed markets have been their death knell, quite literally. Even the green revolution and white revolution beneficiaries, especially in Punjab too are displaying tendency towards mass suicides. Market forces are definitely not a boon, especially after the volatility due to introduction of वायदा in commodity trading.

Like (1)

Girish Patkar

Jan 11, 2016

T N Ninan has rightly pointed out decisions which ideally the current government should take. However, I am sure Mr Ninan understands,that in a democracy where elections are held every 5 years, and where votes are given not on economic performance and efficient management but on religious and caste considerations ( eg. Bihar elections ) and where the government is accused to be " Suit boot ki Sarkar", privatisation of Air India,MTNL etc. and changes in labour laws will definitely provide more ammunition to the opposition parties to malign the government.

I am sure, the Government will act at the opportune time !

Girish

Like (1)

Manoj

Jan 11, 2016

Even govt should our to business of building refinery and petrochemical plant. There are very bad history of heavy cost over run. Batter in place of that govt can give some tax incentive to privet sector which are very efficient. You can take very good example of Paradeep refinery , Opal plant in Dahej,

Like (1)
   Next>>
Equitymaster requests your view! Post a comment on "Here is One Chinese Story that Narendra Modi Needs to Listen to". Click here!