The Fatal Conceit of Central Planners - Vivek Kaul's Diary
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The Fatal Conceit of Central Planners

May 14, 2016

27

GENEVA, Switzerland - When we left you yesterday, we were describing why neither democracy nor central planning works on a large scale.

Austrian School economist Friedrich Hayek described the problem with great thoroughness in his book The Fatal Conceit.

Central planning is a necessary feature of life. We have to plan our day...our year...our business...our vacations...our budgets - we plan for everything in our lives.

And generally speaking, the better we are at planning...and at following through on our plans...the better things go.

Naturally, we assume that this sort of planning will be helpful at all levels - from our personal schedules to an agenda for the entire nation.

But there's a problem: Planning requires detailed knowledge of our goals and resources.

Along Come the Feds...

If you're going to build a factory, for example, you need a lot of information.

You need to know where, when, how, and why, covering a vast range of issues.

How much will it cost? How long will it take? What will it make? How will the goods be delivered? Where will employees come from? How much will they earn? Etc, etc.

You do that planning as best you can - sometimes right, sometimes wrong - and always knowing that you'll have to live with the results.

But then, along come the feds. And they've got their own plans...

'You can't build a factory there,' they say.

'We're raising the minimum wage,' they add.

'You'll have to get a license...a permit...clearance from the FDA, EPA, FBI, TSA, NSA, DOJ, SEC, NLRB...

'And, oh yes, your product must be sold at the price we set...'

Uh-oh.

The problem is not one with planning, per se, but with a conflict of plans.

You have your plans - based on specific information about what you want to do and what you have to work with - and the feds have theirs.

You want to spend your money; the feds want to take it away to fund their own projects. You want to live in St Petersburg. They want to put you in a gulag in Siberia.

Shot to Hell

You save money for your retirement. You plan ahead. You calculate how much you need, and for 20 years you hold back enough...sticking to your plan until your 65th birthday.

Then here comes the Fed...cutting interest rates so drastically that your entire plan is shot to hell.

By edict - with no vote from you or anybody you ever voted for - roughly $8 trillion in interest payments has been confiscated from savers and handed to debtors...making them richer at your expense.

When you put your plans forward, they are based on a free give-and-take with the rest of the private sector - raising the money you need, buying the resources necessary, and hiring workers.

Nobody is forced to do anything. It is all voluntary; everyone involved believes he comes out ahead.

But along come the feds. They tell you their plans take precedence. They have the Gestapo, the NKVD, the Stasi, and the ATF behind them.

You can negotiate and persuade with customers and suppliers. The feds simply levy fines...put you in jail....or worse.

It doesn't matter what you want or what you think: You go along...or else. Families, businesses, and small towns, too - all must bend to the will of the central government.

And then what?

Inevitably, the central planners in Washington, Moscow, London, and Paris make a mess of things.

Growth slows. Money is lost. Wars are launched. People are killed.

Who pays the costs? The central planners? Not on your life.

The costs of their errors and shenanigans are always imposed - by force - on the people whose own plans were disrupted: investors, taxpayers, consumers, and communities.

The 'fatal conceit', says Hayek, is that they believe they can make a better world by interfering with private plans and imposing their ideas about how the world should work.


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Wishful Thinking

And democracy...?

It is like a pair of twins - one scam and the other wishful thinking...and often hard to tell them apart.

We want to think that the common people - in their wisdom - will always make the right choice, after they've exhausted the wrong ones.

You fool all of them some of the time, as Abe Lincoln said (and proved), but you can't fool them all the time.

But what we see in history is that most people are ready for almost any kind of mischief, day or night. There is nothing so stupid, murderous, and counterproductive that they won't get up to it sooner or later.

'But at least they get what they deserve,' you might say. Surely public policy will reflect the will of the people, won't it?

Well, even it did, it would still be repulsive and ineffective. Even with the support of 51% of the population, central planning would still disrupt the plans of the other 49% - leading to mass larceny, less output, and involuntary servitude.

But there is almost no chance that central planning on a national scale will be understood and supported by a majority of the people anyway.

How many people understand the Fed's zero-interest-rate policy? How many support the wholesale rip-off of America's savers for the benefit of the rich?

Studies have proven that no matter whom you elect, the central planners work for the Deep State, not for the voters.

They continue pursuing their self-serving agenda...no matter what you want.

And since their agenda involves taking wealth and power from the many and giving it to themselves, there is almost no chance - were it fully understood - that the majority of voters would support it.

So, if you think the nuisances and indignities imposed by the feds will stop - just because you elect Hillary or Donald - you're probably mistaken.

But wait...we have one more question to answer.

Thoughts on that...on Monday...

Then we promise to keep quiet about voting. Perhaps we could all agree to disagree?

We will respect your position, dear reader, such as it is, and you will accord the same silent contempt to ours.

Okay?

Bill Bonner is the President & Founder of Agora Inc, an international publisher of financial and special interest books and newsletters.

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4 Responses to "The Fatal Conceit of Central Planners"

krishna ghosh

May 18, 2016

Wonderful article. Very few understand this tactics. The present Central govt. is trying to cut down the interests on FIXED DEPOSITS, Public Provident fund scheme. The Central govt will take the money from the retired people making their living from the intersts on their FDs & give to the pension holders through DA etc. The pension holders are becoming richer & people living on interests are becoming poorer.

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krishna ghosh

May 18, 2016

Wonderful article. Very few understand this tactics. The present Central govt. is trying to cut down the interests on FIXED DEPOSITS, Public Provident fund scheme. The Central govt will take the money from the retired people making their living from the intersts on their FDs & give to the pension holders through DA etc. The pension holders are becoming richer & people living on interests are becoming poorer.

Like 

chandra sekhar

May 14, 2016

Very true. Many people, even well educated, do not understand government policies. But then is it not equally true that the one who understand do not fight such injustice (many a time the 'intellectuals' cozy up with insiders or rarely write an article in pink papers).

I have started an initiative under the title Proletarian Power (proletarianpower.org) precisely for this purpose. I welcome all like minded people.

chandra sekhar gupta boggarapu

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Akand

May 14, 2016

Bill, why don't you do this short course ... The Global Financial Crisis ... At Coursera ... And see if you still think the same or have changed your views?
Your constant haranguing of the financial system from which you have profited quite handsomely sounds like communist China talking of the running dogs of capitalism .... Until they themselves turned capitalist!

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