Helping You Build Wealth With Honest Research
Since 1996. Try Now

MEMBER'S LOGIN

MEMBER'S LOGINX

     
Invalid Username / Password
   
     
   
     
 
Invalid Captcha
   
 
 
 
(Please do not use this option on a public machine)
 
     
 
 
 
  Sign Up | Forgot Password?  

Is the gold rally over?
Tue, 19 Jun Pre-Open

Gold, as an asset class, is inversely correlated to equities. It is not only a safe haven but also provides an hedge against inflation. Thus, people flock to buy gold to preserve their wealth in times of adversity. Now, considering the current global turmoil the demand for gold has increased considerably. Thus, gold has outperformed equities and delivered higher returns if the recent history is considered.

But is this performance sustainable in the near future as well? For that to tell, first we need to know the demand drivers of gold.

As noted previously gold is a safe haven. And considering that the Eurozone crisis might peak in the near future it may trigger a gold rally. Also, in the current environment faith in paper currencies has started dying down. That's because most countries have indulged in quantitative easing exercises to stimulate their economies. Artificial money pumping can stoke inflation and thus paper currencies can lose value in future. Thus, with both equities and currency losing sheen in the current environment gold becomes an inevitable choice for investment.

However, for how long will this bull-run last?

Strengthening of the US dollar has started impacting the gold demand to a certain extent. Also, considering that the Greece elections have been positive (pro-bail out parties won) the situation in Eurozone and equities in general has improved a bit. Greece's willingness to stay anchored to the Euro has reduced the risk of contagion that could have erupted from its separation from the Eurozone. This has reduced the risk aversion towards equities.

Thus, whether the gold rally has legs to carry itself from here on depends on the global economic environment, movement in the US dollar and investors' perception towards risk.

For information on how to pick stocks that have the potential to deliver big returns, download our special report now!

View all commentaries | Archives

Read the latest Market Commentary


Equitymaster requests your view! Post a comment on "Is the gold rally over?". Click here!

  
ABOUT EQUITYMASTER

Since 1996, Equitymaster has been the source for honest and credible opinions on investing in India. With solid research and in-depth analysis Equitymaster is dedicated towards making its readers- smarter, more confident and richer every day. Here's why hundreds of thousands of readers spread across more than 70 countries Trust Equitymaster.

PREMIUM PRODUCTS
QUICK LINKS
POPULAR TOPICS
TRENDING TOPICS
FREE NEWSLETTERS
EQUITYMASTER SUPPORTS
  • HelpYourNGO
  • You Tube
  • Linkedin
  • Twitter
  • Telegram
  • Google Play

Copyright © Equitymaster Agora Research Private Limited.

Whitelist | Refer | Terms | Privacy | Contact | About | Sitemap

Phone +91-9136015013

Equitymaster Agora Research Private Limited (Research Analyst)
SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations 2014, Registration No. INH000000537.

103, Regent Chambers, Above Status Restaurant, Nariman Point, Mumbai - 400 021. India.
Telephone: +91-22-61434055. Email: info@equitymaster.com. Website: www.equitymaster.com.
CIN:U74999MH2007PTC175407

Name of the Compliance & Grievance Officer: Ms Sonal Ramachandran
Telephone: +91-22-61434003 | Email: compliance@equitymaster.com

LEGAL DISCLAIMER:
Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.
Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.

All rights reserved. Any act of copying, reproducing or distributing this newsletter whether wholly or in part, for any purpose without the permission of Equitymaster is strictly prohibited and shall be deemed to be copyright infringement.

Equitymaster Agora Research Private Limited (Research Analyst) bearing Registration No. INH000000537 (hereinafter referred as 'Equitymaster') is an independent equity research Company. Equitymaster is not an Investment Adviser. Information herein should be regarded as a resource only and should be used at one's own risk. This is not an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any securities and Equitymaster will not be liable for any losses incurred or investment(s) made or decisions taken/or not taken based on the information provided herein. Information contained herein does not constitute investment advice or a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual subscribers. Before acting on any recommendation, subscribers should consider whether it is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek an independent professional advice. This is not directed for access or use by anyone in a country, especially, USA, Canada or the European Union countries, where such use or access is unlawful or which may subject Equitymaster or its affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement. All content and information is provided on an 'As Is' basis by Equitymaster. Information herein is believed to be reliable but Equitymaster does not warrant its completeness or accuracy and expressly disclaims all warranties and conditions of any kind, whether express or implied. Equitymaster may hold shares in the company/ies discussed herein. As a condition to accessing Equitymaster content and website, you agree to our Terms and Conditions of Use, available here. The performance data quoted represents past performance and does not guarantee future results.