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Indian Indices Open on a Negative Note; Metal & Auto Stocks Drag
Wed, 5 Dec 09:30 am

Asian shares are trading on a negative note today. The Nikkei 225 is down 0.9%, while the Hang Seng is down 1.6%. The Shanghai Composite is trading down by 0.3%.

Back home, India share markets have opened the day on a negative note. The BSE Sensex is trading down by 246 points (down 0.7%) while the NSE Nifty is trading down by 63 points (down 0.6%). The BSE Mid Cap index is trading down 0.7%, while the BSE Small Cap index has opened the day down by 0.6%.

Barring oil & gas sector and PSU sector all sectoral indices are trading on a negative note.

The rupee is trading at 70.70 to the US dollar.

From the automobiles space, Tata Motors share price is in focus today as the company is planning a large-scale overhaul of its sales network across the country over the next one year as it prepares to bring in new products, including premium SUV Harrier.

In another news, the homegrown auto major said S&P Global Ratings has downgraded the credit rating of the company and its British arm Jaguar Land Rover Automotive Plc. Tata Motors' issue credit rating and senior unsecured notes rating have been revised to 'BB-/negative watch' from the existing 'BB' due to weaker profitability at JLR.

Last week, JLR reduced the workforce at the plant in Solihull, Central England. The company also reported that the external environment remains challenging and decisive actions are taken to achieve the necessary operational efficiencies to safeguard long term success.

Tata Motors share price has opened the day down by 2.3%.

To know more about the company, you can access to Tata Motors Q2FY19 result analysis and Tata Motors stock analysis on our website.

Speaking of blue-chip automobile stocks, one out of every three household in India is a buyer of their products. They own some of the cult brands in Indian automobile space.

They have formidable R&D teams. They have been through several economic cycles over decades. Few have even visited near-bankruptcy in the past and come out successful.

Yet, some of the biggest passenger car, commercial vehicle, and two-wheeler companies in India have seen a huge dent in valuations in recent times.

Tanushree Banerjee, Co-head of Research at Equitymaster believes, this could be the opportunity long term investors were waiting for.

In the news from the commodity space, crude oil is witnessing selling pressure today weighed down by swelling US inventories and a plunge in global stock markets amid concerns over an economic slowdown.

Reportedly, oil prices are under pressure due to a weekly report by American Petroleum Institute (API) that said US crude inventories rose by 5.4 million barrels in the week to Nov. 30, to 448 million barrels, in a sign that US oil markets are in a growing glut.

As per the news, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) plus Russia and other allies are meeting on 6th and 7th December. Producers are discussing a supply curb of 1 million to 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) and possibly more.

The OPEC meeting in Vienna will follow a gathering by the Group of 20 (G20) nations in Argentina, at which oil policy is expected to be discussed. The meet will also potentially lay the groundwork for an OPEC deal.

Recently, Qatar announced that it is quitting next month to focus on liquefied natural gas (LNG) production. This was a big blow faced by OPEC.

Qatar's energy minister Saad Sherida al-Kaabi dismissed the notion that the move was driven by Doha's ongoing feud with OPEC's de facto leader Saudi Arabia.

Note that OPEC's de-facto leader Saudi Arabia wants the cartel and its allies to cut output by about 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd), around 1.5% of global supply.

However, while OPEC is considering withholding supply, US crude oil production reached another record high last week at 11.7 million barrels per day (bpd), according to U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). So, this, on the other hand, is helping cap the sharp rise in crude oil prices.

Note that high crude oil prices can be a big worry for the Modi government as well as it has been a big beneficiary of lower crude oil prices.

Speaking about the OPEC meetings, Sarvajeet offers some interesting data about the meetings' impact on crude oil prices.

Here's what he wrote in one of the recent editions of The 5 Minute WrapUp...

    I wanted to check the impact on crude oil prices immediately after OPEC meetings.

    I considered November 2014 as the starting point for this exercise.

    Guess what? After OPEC meetings, crude oil prices have seen volatile moves both ways.

    Look at this chart...

    Volatile Up and Down Moves Post-OPEC Meetings

    In the last four years, crude oil prices have moved between -7% and 9% in a single day immediately after OPEC meetings.

    So, I won't be surprised if we see a similar volatility after Thursday's meeting.

    It is important to note that, in the short term, OPEC has significant influence on the price of crude oil. But in the long term, its ability to influence the price of oil is quite limited. This because individual countries within OPEC have different incentives than the group as a whole.

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