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Passively Managed Funds Can Help You Earn Better Returns Amidst Market Turbulence
May 22, 2020

An extension in lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic has hit the economy harder pushing the markets down. The Sensex has plummeted below the levels of the fall witnessed in 2018.

Every segment and sector of the country is so badly hit that it fails to revive the investors sentiment and the index.


Graph 1: S&P BSE Sensex fallen off the cliff

Last week a friend rang up during the Finance Minister's video announcement of the relief measures to boost the brooding economy to ask the one question that is on every investor's mind, "Where should I invest now? It's so difficult to suitably choose anything..."

I said, "If you know how long you want to invest, the investment risk you are comfortable with and the financial positioning, it should not be difficult. "

"My mutual fund portfolio is also down, so I can't think of redeeming any schemes. I have reviewed my portfolio, but I don't know where to make new investments. "

"I understand, what you mean, the market has been extremely volatile, and investing anything in equities calls for a strong heart, " I replied.

I continued, "This volatility has given a leeway for attractive valuations, though choosing the right pick is getting difficult even for the fund managers. New cases are being reported every day and there's no sign of a vaccine yet. Besides, opening up industries in a phased manner is making livelihood tough which is a deterrent for the growth of the economy and is impacting the bottom line of most companies. "

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This makes the passive investment, i.e. index funds or exchange-traded funds, a better choice for new investment.

Passively managed funds are aligned to a particular benchmark index such as the S&P CNX Nifty, BSE Sensex, S&P CNX 500, or even for that matter a sectoral index such as BSE Banked. Index funds and exchange-traded funds are passively managed funds.

An index fund does not attempt to outperform the benchmark index, it simply replicates the index.

An index constitutes a representative collection of stocks that are important for the economy. Therefore, index funds invest in the same companies as the benchmark index in the same proportion. These funds endeavour to mirror the performance of the designated benchmark index by investing only in the stocks of the index with the corresponding allocation or weightage.

The fund manager tries to build and match the portfolio whose holdings mirror the securities of a standard index.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are innovative products that provide exposure to an index or a basket of securities or physical gold that trade on the exchange like a single stock. ETFs are an innovation to traditional mutual funds because these provide investors with a fund that closely tracks the performance of an index / physical gold with the ability to buy/sell on an intra-day basis.

ETFs feature all the benefits of indexing such as diversification, low cost, and transparency. The cost of distribution is much lower, and the reach is wider because these funds are listed on the exchange. Hence, the savings in cost are passed on to the investors in the form of lower costs. The manager of such a fund only buys the stocks of the underlying index and exits a certain stock only when the respective stock exits from the index and replaced by another one.

Hence, investing in passively managed funds is less cumbersome as compared to investing in actively managed funds. Also, they carry with them a low expense ratio along with a low risk (as compared to actively managed mutual funds), make market timing irrelevant and low portfolio churning also adds to their merit.

If you look at the data table below, the returns of top index funds for over three years have performed well. In fact, even the ETFs have been doing well.

Table 1: Performance of top passive funds and category average returns of diversified funds
Scheme Name 3 Years 5 Years 7 Years
Index funds      
SBI-ETF Nifty Next 50 -3.9 4.91  
Nippon India ETF Sensex 2.07 4.23  
SBI-ETF Sensex 2.08 4.2 9.73
ICICI Pru Sensex ETF 2.03 4.17 9.47
Kotak Sensex ETF 1.87 3.96 9.27
ETFs      
Motilal Oswal Nasdaq 100 ETF 30.49 27.68 44.8
Nippon India ETF Hang Seng BeES 6.59 3.24 9.96
Nippon India ETF Consumption 1.14 5.92  
Nippon India ETF Shariah BeES 0.42 4.4 10.6
Motilal Oswal M50 ETF -1.52 1.57 7.17
Category Large & Mid Cap -2.57 4.6 15.95
Category: Large Cap Fund -0.85 4.01 11.48
Category: Mid Cap Fund -3.84 3.92 19.76
Category: Multi Cap Fund -1.93 3.88 13.6
Category: Small cap Fund -8.03 1.86 17.17
Data as on May 19, 2020
(Source: ACE: MF; PersonalFN Research)

The good performance of passively managed schemes is because e alpha generation was very difficult. Passively managed index funds and ETFs (which were a category of funds generally ignored by retail investors in India) have slowly started gaining momentum. Notably, the concept of index funds is quite popular in developed markets like the U.S.

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Taking into account the underperformance of the actively managed funds against the key benchmark indices like S&P BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 index in the last one year, many investors now want to get the taste of passively managed funds. It is noteworthy that passively managed funds tracking the popular index have managed to outperform their active peers by a noticeable margin.

Table 2: Average category returns across market cycles
  Bear Phase Bull Phase Bear Phase Bull Phase Bear Phase Bull Phase Corrective Phase
Scheme category 08-Jan-08 To 09-Mar-09 09-Mar-09 To 05-Nov-10 05-Nov-10 To 20-Dec-11 20-Dec-11 To 03-Mar-15 03-Mar-15 To 25-Feb-16 25-Feb-16 To 23-Jan-18 23-Jan-18 To 18-May-20
Large & Mid Cap -56.3 83.2 -25.8 31.2 -18.2 34.3 -12.2
Large Cap Fund -52.8 75.7 -23.7 27 -20 28.1 -9.4
Mid Cap Fund -62.6 97.1 -27.7 36.6 -16.4 34.9 -13.7
Multi Cap Fund -56.1 84.2 -26.2 31 -19.2 31.9 -11.1
Small cap Fund -55.9 96.1 -27.6 36.3 -12.6 40.6 -20.8
ETFs - Other -63.7 126.3 -28.6 25.5 -17.8 31.6 -8.7
Index -54.4 95.2 -30.7 23.4 -24.9 32.2 -10.7
Data as on May 19, 2020
(Source: ACE: MF; PersonalFN Research)

Even in terms of market phases, the bull and bear phases, the average returns of passively managed funds have shown that they have performed well, as seen above in the table.

"What are you saying?" my friend interrupted me.

I continued to explain further.

Index funds are popular in developed countries like the U.S. It is noteworthy that the U.S. is a saturated economy, where the active fund managers find it difficult to generate alpha over the benchmark.

In India, passive management of funds is relatively an unpopular concept because investors tend to chase returns. A majority of passively managed funds offered in India mimic the Nifty or S&P BSE Sensex. The other categories of passively managed funds, such as strategy-based funds, are yet to evolve.

If you choose an index fund with low tracking error and the low expense ratio, it can help you generate higher returns than the index provided you invest for the long term.

However, keep in mind that a market crash impacts index funds as well. Unlike index funds, actively managed funds are better poised to take advantage of dynamic market conditions. During the market crash, the actively managed funds get the opportunity to pick strong companies available at attractive valuations. Hence, they can outperform the market with a remarkable margin during the recovery and bull phase.

Besides, most index funds usually track the large-cap index. This prevents you from taking advantage of the growth in broader markets. If you want to create a diversified portfolio of funds, actively managed funds can be a worthwhile option.

Remember there is a long way to go before we get to a level where the active fund management becomes completely ineffective and redundant. In our understanding, we are far away from having a complete passively managed fund industry. Do not forget, a large number of investors continue to prefer market-beating returns over market-linked returns.

If you wish to get the taste of passive investing, make sure you do not go overboard on index funds. Maintain a fair allocation between actively and passively managed funds. An allocation of 80:20 could be fair if you still aim to beat the markets.

End note:

My friend thanked me for clearing his mind before ending our conversation. If you too want to consider investing in passively managed funds, remember since passively managed funds mirror the benchmarks it tends to lose out on the opportunities that diversified fund offers. However, from a diversification standpoint, one can consider investing in passively managed funds.

PS: If you wish to select worthy mutual fund schemes, I recommend you to subscribe to PersonalFN's unbiased premium research service, FundSelect.

Additionally, as a bonus, you get access to PersonalFN's popular debt mutual fund service, DebtSelect.

If you are serious about investing in a rewarding mutual fund scheme, Subscribe now!

Author: Aditi Murkute

This article first appeared on PersonalFN here.

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PersonalFN is a Mumbai based personal finance firm offering Financial Planning and Mutual Fund Research services.

Disclaimer:

The views mentioned above are of the author only. Data and charts, if used, in the article have been sourced from available information and have not been authenticated by any statutory authority. The author and Equitymaster do not claim it to be accurate nor accept any responsibility for the same. The views constitute only the opinions and do not constitute any guidelines or recommendation on any course of action to be followed by the reader. Please read the detailed Terms of Use of the web site.

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