Hero Honda: A SWOT analysis - Views on News from Equitymaster

Helping You Build Wealth With Honest Research
Since 1996. Try Now

  • MyStocks


Login Failure
(Please do not use this option on a public machine)
  Sign Up | Forgot Password?  

Hero Honda: A SWOT analysis

Apr 11, 2005

Today if one talks about Indian two-wheeler industry, reference to Hero Honda Motors Limited is by default. It is not only the market leader in the two wheeler segment in India but also is the number one two wheeler company in the world by volumes. The company's name is synonymous with fuel-efficient bikes and longevity. The company has a presence in all bike segments viz. economy (CD 100SS, CD Dawn) executive (Super Splendor, Splendor+) and premium (Karizma, CBZ). Splendor is the most successful product of the company and accounts for almost 50% of the company's turnover.

Hero Honda is a two-decade-old story. It came into existence as a joint venture agreement between the Munjal family's Hero Group and Honda Motor Company (HMC) of Japan, each having 26% stake in the company. A ten year agreement was first entered in the year 1984, whereby HMC brought in technical expertise and Hero Honda brought in local talent to manage all other functions including marketing, finance, and human resources. The agreement was once again renewed in 2004 and has been extended till 2014.

Performance vis-a-vis Industry
The Indian two wheeler industry has seen a paradigm shift from being a regime of regulation and tight control in the 1980s to a more liberalised and a competitive present day era. After missing out on the initial boom in two wheeler segment during the period of 1993-1996, Hero Honda has emerged as a world leader. The gap between motorcycles sold by Hero Honda and its closest rival is approximately 1 m units (23% of industry size). One of the reasons for the tremendous performance of Hero Honda is the significant increase of share of motorcycles in the two-wheeler segment, from 42% in FY99 to 77% in FY04. No doubt, that the shift in preference of Indian populace from scooters and mopeds towards motorcycles has facilitated the growth of Hero Honda. However its performance vis-a-vis industry indicates that the performance of Hero Honda was better than the industry peers, barring two years. In the seven-year period ending FY04, it has achieved a CAGR of 30% in two-wheeler volumes against 11% of the industry.

Past 5 year performance...
As can be seen from the table below, the company the sales as well as the profits have increased enormously. The company net sales has shown a CAGR of 27% and net profits have shown a CAGR of 39% led by its motorcycle led dominance. The operating margin of the company has improved by 290 basis point to 16.8%.

(Rs m)FY00FY01FY02FY03FY04
Motor Cycles sold (m)0.76 1.03 1.43 1.68 2.07
Net sales22,46431,68744,65451,01758,324
Other income2042217679561,681
Total revenues22,66831,90745,42251,97360,005
Operating profit3,0704,2856,8078,6369,801
PBIT 2,7243,8436,2978,0569,068
Extraordinary Items-34-268-105(149) (7)
Net Profit 1,9212,4694,6295,8087,283
Operating profit margin13.7%13.5%15.2%16.9%16.8%
Net profit margin8.6%7.8%10.4%11.4%12.5%
Number of shares (m)39.9199.7199.7199.7199.7
Face Value (Rs)
DPS (Rs)
EPS (Rs)48.112.423.229.136.5
Fully Diluted EPS (Rs)9.612.423.229.136.5

Strong Fundamentals
As evident from the table company has a strong balance sheet. Further the company has a consistent record of paying dividend.

Debt Equity (x)
Interest coverage (x)57.8151.9417.0465.7527.2
Dividend payout0.9%0.6%0.4%0.4%0.3%

The company has clarified about its intention of setting a third plant in addition to its existing two plants. The company has embarked upon a green field expansion plan and has earmarked Rs 2 bn for the same. It should be noted that the company has a strong cash flow position, it generated Rs 9 bn from operation in FY04 and is virtually a debt free company.

What to expect?
With liberalization take a strong hold in the country, the automobile sector has changed from a sellers' market to a buyers' market. The automobile sector is one of the most competitive sectors with competition on all fronts i.e. pricing, new launches, innovativeness, efficiency, network of dealers etc. Further, the market share of motorcycle in the two-wheeler industry at present 78%, presenting a limited further upside.

From Hero Honda's perspective, the effect of competition and the pricing pressure is evident from the fact that though the growth in sales volume in FY04 was 24% YoY, the same was only 14% in value terms. Further the operating profit is showing a decreasing trend, from 66% growth YoY in FY00 to 13.5% YoY in FY04, and is expected to continue. The rise in the cost of inputs like steel, rubber, plastics pose a significant problem due inability to aggressively price the product thereby adversely affecting the operating margins. Further publicity and advertisement expenses are expected to rise for aggressive marketing of new launches and existing products.

Among other concerns, the new agreement between Honda Japan and Hero Honda does not have 'no compete clause'. Secondly, The company is planning to foray into the scooter segment with a launch scheduled in mid-2006. The rational behind this seems to be obscure, as the share of the scooters in the two-wheeler industry has reduced to 16% from a high of more than 50%. Even the market leader, Bajaj Auto, is facing the industry pressure.

As per the NCAER report the demand for motorcycles in India is expected to be 10 times that of the scooters and moped by 2011-12. At the same time one has to bear in mind that Hero Motors (a Munjal group company) has entered into an agreement with 'Aprilla' to strengthen its presence in the ungeared scooter market. Thus in effect this would result in two companies of the same promoter group competing against each other. Further, Honda Motors, Japan through its 100% subsidiary has a significant presence in the scooter segment.

At Rs. 535, the company trades at a price to earnings multiple of 12 times and Price to free cash flow ratio of 27.5 times our FY07E estimates. Though Hero Honda has done well in the past, we are skeptical of its prospects in view of the competitive environment within the segment. We foresee margins coming under pressure. We prefer Bajaj Auto within this segment.

Equitymaster requests your view! Post a comment on "Hero Honda: A SWOT analysis". Click here!


More Views on News

HERO MOTOCORP Announces Quarterly Results (3QFY21); Net Profit Up 23.2% (Quarterly Result Update)

Feb 10, 2021 | Updated on Feb 10, 2021

For the quarter ended December 2020, HERO MOTOCORP has posted a net profit of Rs 11 bn (up 23.2% YoY). Sales on the other hand came in at Rs 98 bn (up 39.7% YoY). Read on for a complete analysis of HERO MOTOCORP's quarterly results.

HERO MOTOCORP Announces Quarterly Results (1QFY21); Net Profit Down 95.1% (Quarterly Result Update)

Sep 10, 2020 | Updated on Sep 10, 2020

For the quarter ended June 2020, HERO MOTOCORP has posted a net profit of Rs 613 m (down 95.1% YoY). Sales on the other hand came in at Rs 30 bn (down 63.0% YoY). Read on for a complete analysis of HERO MOTOCORP's quarterly results.

HERO MOTOCORP 2019-20 Annual Report Analysis (Annual Result Update)

Aug 6, 2020 | Updated on Aug 6, 2020

Here's an analysis of the annual report of HERO MOTOCORP for 2019-20. It includes a full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow analysis of HERO MOTOCORP. Also includes updates on the valuation of HERO MOTOCORP.

HERO MOTOCORP 2018-19 Annual Report Analysis (Annual Result Update)

Jul 8, 2019 | Updated on Jul 8, 2019

Here's an analysis of the annual report of HERO MOTOCORP for 2018-19. It includes a full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow analysis of HERO MOTOCORP. Also includes updates on the valuation of HERO MOTOCORP.

More Views on News

Most Popular

India: Recovery Stalled by Vaccine Games? (The Honest Truth)

Apr 13, 2021

Ajit Dayal on how India's vaccine strategy will impact the markets.

4 Stocks to Make Your Portfolio Immune to the Second Covid Wave (Profit Hunter)

Apr 6, 2021

Rather than predicting the market, successful investing is more about preparing well and placing your bets accordingly.

An India Revival Stock I'm Bullish On... (Profit Hunter)

Apr 9, 2021

This could take India to the position of 3rd largest economy.

Why Did the Market Crash on Monday? (Fast Profits Daily)

Apr 13, 2021

In this video, I'll you what I think is the real reason behind yesterday's market crash.

A Unique Sector for Short-Term Profits (Fast Profits Daily)

Apr 12, 2021

This ignored sector could deliver big short-term profits.


India's #1 Trader
Reveals His Secrets

Secret To Increasing Your Trading Profits Today
Get this Special Report,
The Secret to Increasing Your Trading Profits Today, Now!
We will never sell or rent your email id.
Please read our Terms


Apr 16, 2021 (Close)


  • Track your investment in HERO MOTOCORP with Equitymaster's Portfolio Tracker. Set live price alerts, get research alerts and more. Get access now...
  • Add To MyStocks