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  • Dec 6, 2022 - 5 Undervalued Midcap Stocks to Watch Out for in 2023

5 Undervalued Midcap Stocks to Watch Out for in 2023

Dec 6, 2022

5 Undervalued Midcap Stocks to Watch Out for in 2023

Investing in midcap stocks can be one of the most rewarding ways to earn high returns while also taking on a little more risk.

To invest in midcaps, you need to look for companies with solid fundamentals and sustainable business models.

Another factor you need to consider is valuations. Undervalued stocks have time and again proven to be the safest options.

However, in a bullish market (like the present one), it often becomes very difficult to find undervalued stocks.

But if you dig deeper and have the patience, you'll find there are some pockets of undervalued stocks. These can be some great buys you can take advantage of.

If a leading daily is to be believed, then value investing has made a good comeback in 2022.

Mutual funds following the value style of investing, have done well in 2022, notching up returns in low-double digits. Value stocks like ITC, NTPC among others, have also delivered a market beating performance.

So 2022 turned out to be a good year for both value stocks as well as funds dedicated to this style of investing. We believe value investing will continue to outperform in 2023 as well.

With that in mind, let's take a look at five undervalued stocks from the midcap space.

We have selected the high-quality names which are trading at not so expensive valuations. These stocks have a price to earnings (PE) multiple between 20 and 50 and have low debt to equity.

This way, valuations are not very expensive and quality is also good as we are essentially considering zero debt companies.

#1 HDFC Asset Management Company (AMC)

First on the list is the HDFC group company - HDFC AMC.

HDFC AMC was started in 1999 and set up as a joint venture between Housing Development Finance Corporation (HDFC) and Standard Life Investments.

During financial year 2019, the company carried out an initial public offering (IPO) and became a publicly listed company in August 2018.

HDFC AMC offers a large suite of savings and investment products across asset classes. It also provides portfolio management and segregated account services to high net worth individuals (HNIs), family offices, domestic corporates, trusts, provident funds, and domestic and global institutions.

In the past five years, the company has grown its revenue at a modest rate of 4% on a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) basis.

Profits have grown at a CAGR of 14% during the same period.

Return ratios for HDFC AMC are compelling with 5-year average return on equity (ROE) coming in at 33.4% while return on capital (ROCE) comes at 46.4%.

HDFC AMC has also declared hefty dividend for shareholders over the years.

Financial Snapshot of HDFC AMC

Rs m, standalone FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
Revenue 17,568 19,152 20,033 18,525 21,154
Growth (%) 19% 9% 5% -8% 14%
Operating profit 10,676 13,876 17,124 18,133 19,178
OPM (%) 61% 72% 85% 98% 91%
Net Profit 7,113 9,306 12,624 13,258 13,931
NPM (%) 40% 49% 63% 72% 66%
Debt to equity (x) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
ROE (%) 38.8 35.1 35.6 30.2 27.3
ROCE (%) 57.6 51.6 46.8 39.9 36.2
Dividend per share (Rs) 16 24 28 34 42
Data Source: Ace Equity

Coming to valuations, HDFC AMC is currently trading at a price to earnings (PE) multiple of 33.75 and a price to book value (P/BV) of 8.7.

The stock is trading at a discount when compared to its historical average.

Valuation Ratios for HDFC AMC

(x) FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 TTM
PE Ratio 35.1 35.6 46.9 32.9 33.8
P/BV Ratio 10.7 11.2 13.1 8.4 8.7
High PE 54.5 68.0 56.1 51.4 -
Low PE 33.8 33.6 35.2 31.6 -
Industry PE 27.9
Industry P/BV 6.1
Data Source: Ace Equity

On the stock performance, HDFC AMC has fallen around 26% in 2022 so far. Its performance since listing isn't very noteworthy and has fluctuated largely at times.


#2 Supreme Industries

Next on the list is Supreme Industries.

The company is one of the leading manufacturers of plastic products in India.

With a comprehensive product portfolio, it has a presence in several business segments. Some of its key business verticals are the plastic piping division, packaging products, and consumer and industrial products.

Supreme Industries has 25 manufacturing facilities across the country, handling over 350,000 tonnes of polymers annually.

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In the past five years, the company has grown its revenue at a rate of 9% on a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) basis.

Profits have grown at a CAGR of 18% during the same period.

The company's 5-year average return on equity (ROE) stands at 23.2% while return on capital (ROCE) stands at 31%.

Supreme Industries has also declared dividends at a growing rate.

Financial Snapshot of Supreme Industries

Rs m, consolidated FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
Revenue 49,701 56,120 55,115 63,552 77,728
Growth (%) 11% 13% -2% 15% 22%
Operating profit 7,969 7,999 8,455 13,011 12,621
OPM (%) 16% 14% 15% 20% 16%
Net Profit 4,318 4,486 4,674 9,781 9,685
NPM (%) 9% 8% 8% 15% 12%
Debt to equity (x) 0.13 0.08 0.18 0.00 0.00
ROE (%) 22.1 21.5 19.8 30.7 21.8
ROCE (%) 30.6 30.7 25.7 37.3 29.4
Dividend per share (Rs) 12 13 14 22 24
Data Source: Ace Equity

Coming to valuations, Supreme Industries is currently trading at a PE multiple of 44 and a price to book value of 9.2.

It has commanded such valuations in the past at peak levels. Its PE ratio at present is slightly above the industry average of 28.7x.

Valuation Ratios for Supreme Industries

(x) FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 TTM
PE Ratio 31.5 23.6 26.5 26.8 43.8
P/BV Ratio 6.6 4.9 8.2 6.8 9.2
High PE 41.7 38.5 48.4 29.5 -
Low PE 23.0 22.6 21.6 22.2 -
Data Source: Ace Equity

As far as stock performance is concerned, the share price has seen a run-up in recent weeks.

In 2021, the company announced a capex of Rs 8.5 billion (bn). It plans to establish three greenfield plants in India and expand existing plants' capacities.

Apart from capacity expansion, the company plans to increase the share of value-added products in its portfolio, which has a very high operating profit margin.


#3 CRISIL

Third on the list is rating agency CRISIL.

CRISIL is a leading innovative global analytics company driven by its mission of making markets function better. The company is India's foremost provider of ratings, data, research, analytics, and solutions.

A strong track record of growth, culture of innovation and global footprint sets the company apart from its competition. CRISIL is majority owned by S&P Global Inc, a leading provider of ratings worldwide.

In the past five years, the company has grown its revenue at a rate of 7% on a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) basis.

Profits have grown at a CAGR of 9% during the same period.

The company's 5-year average return on equity (ROE) stands at 33% while return on capital (ROCE) stands at 42.5%.

CRISIL has been a consistent dividend payer for nearly two decades.

Financial Snapshot of CRISIL

Rs m, consolidated CY17 CY18 CY19 CY20 CY21
Revenue 16,585 17,485 17,317 19,818 23,007
Growth (%) 7% 5% -1% 14% 16%
Operating profit 4,807 5,446 5,287 5,938 6,875
OPM (%) 29% 31% 31% 30% 30%
Net Profit 3,044 3,631 3,440 3,547 4,658
NPM (%) 18% 21% 20% 18% 20%
Debt to equity (x) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
ROE (%) 32.0 35.4 31.6 30.0 33.4
ROCE (%) 42.7 45.9 42.5 38.0 43.4
Dividend per share (Rs) 28 30 32 33 46
Data Source: Ace Equity

Coming to valuations, CRISIL is currently trading at a PE multiple of 55 and a price to book value of 21.2.

Historically, credit rating agencies have been known to trade at steep valuations on the back of oligopolistic market, asset-light nature of the business, limited capex requirement, and strong operating cash flows.

Their incremental profit growth and good deployment of cash leads to healthy return ratios. Dividend payout is also on the higher side for these firms.

Valuation Ratios for CRISIL

(x) CY18 CY19 CY20 CY21 TTM
PE Ratio 32.2 40.2 39.4 45.2 55.0
P/BV Ratio 10.9 12.5 11.1 13.7 21.0
High PE 47.1 40.2 44.1 60.7 -
Low PE 28.4 23.8 24.0 36.4 -
Data Source: Ace Equity

On the stock performance, the company has gained 58% over the past five years.


#4 Bayer Cropscience

Next, we have an agrochemical company with a marketcap of Rs 213.4 bn, Bayer Cropscience.

Bayer Cropscience is an Indian subsidiary of Bayer AG, world's largest pharmaceutical and life sciences company based out of Germany.

The company's association with India dates back to the 19th century. Since then, it continues to make significant contributions to India's agriculture and public health.

It provides various products and services through its 3 business divisions: Crop science, pharmaceutical products, and consumer healthcare.

In the past five years, the company has grown its revenue at a rate of 12% on a CAGR basis.

Profits have grown at a CAGR of 17% during the same period.

The company's 5-year average ROE stands at 19% while ROCE stands at 27.2%.

Bayer has paid hefty dividends in the past two years and could continue this dividend payout in the coming years.

Financial Snapshot of Bayer

Rs m, standalone FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
Revenue 27,099 31,673 36,094 42,613 47,344
Growth (%) -3% 17% 14% 18% 11%
Operating profit 4,482 5,342 7,924 8,755 8,657
OPM (%) 17% 17% 22% 21% 18%
Net Profit 3,001 3,371 4,745 4,931 6,453
NPM (%) 11% 11% 13% 12% 14%
Debt to equity (x) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
ROE (%) 15.7 16.8 19.8 19.3 25.4
ROCE (%) 21.7 24.4 24.8 31.5 33.9
Dividend per share (Rs) 18 18 25 115 150
Data Source: Ace Equity

As far as valuations are concerned, Bayer Cropscience is currently trading at a PE multiple of 29.6 and a price to book multiple of 7 times.

In most of its previous years, the company has commanded a higher valuation than the current levels. The industry PE is 33.8x.

Valuation Ratios of Bayer

(x) FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 TTM
PE Ratio 44.6 32.7 48.3 34.7 29.6
P/BV Ratio 6.8 6.0 9.3 8.9 7.2
High PE 54.3 54.9 56.8 56.1 -
Low PE 39.5 32.8 30.3 34.7 -
Data Source: Ace Equity

On the stock performance, in 2022 so far, Bayer Cropscience has fallen 6% while it has gained 18% over the past five years.


#5 Bosch

Last on the list we have auto-ancillary company Bosch.

The company is a leading supplier of technology and services in the areas of mobility solutions, industrial technology, consumer goods, energy, and building technology in India.

Additionally, it has the largest development center outside Germany, for end to end engineering and technology solutions.

Financials of Bosch have fluctuated to a great deal in the pandemic years which has had an impact on the long-term averages. Revenues currently stand at same levels where they were five years ago while profit has declined marginally.

The company's 5-year average ROE stands at 11% while ROCE stands at 16%.

The company has a history of paying dividends since 1994 and a growing track record at that.

Financial Snapshot of Bayer

Rs m, consolidated FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
Revenue 116,901 122,578 98,416 97,162 117,816
Growth (%) 4% 5% -20% -1% 21%
Operating profit 26,050 27,565 20,299 16,646 18,531
OPM (%) 22% 22% 21% 17% 16%
Net Profit 13,711 15,983 6,495 4,820 12,183
NPM (%) 12% 13% 7% 5% 10%
Debt to equity (x) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
ROE (%) 14.6 16.7 6.4 5.0 11.9
ROCE (%) 21.8 24.7 10.1 6.1 14.9
Dividend per share (Rs) 100 105 105 115 210
Data Source: Ace Equity

On the valuations front, Bosch currently trades at a PE multiple of 39 and a price to book multiple of 4.7.

Valuations for Bosch

(x) FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 TTM
PE Ratio 33.5 42.7 86.2 35.0 39.0
P/BV Ratio 5.9 3.0 4.2 4.0 4.7
High PE 49.0 46.3 618.1 97.4 -
Low PE 38.4 25.4 40.1 30.4 -
Data Source: Ace Equity

As far as stock performance is concerned, the company has underperformed big time in the past five years and in 2022.

It has fallen 14% in five-year period and 1% in 2022 so far.


Screen undervalued stocks using Equitymaster's Indian Stock Screener

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It's a powerful and flexible tool which allows you to run your own custom queries.

Here are some of the valuations screens that should help you get started in the world of value investing.

Equitymaster's valuation guru and Co-head of Research, Rahul Shah, recorded a video some months ago explaining how to use the most important valuation metric - PE ratio, like a pro.

Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing

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Disclaimer: This article is for information purposes only. It is not a stock recommendation and should not be treated as such. Learn more about our recommendation services here...

Yash Vora

Yash Vora is a financial writer with the Microcap Millionaires team at Equitymaster. He has followed the stock markets right from his early college days. So, Yash has a keen eye for the big market movers. His clear and crisp writeups offer sharp insights on market moving stocks, fund flows, economic data and IPOs. When not looking at stocks, Yash loves a game of table tennis or chess.

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