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Proof That Timing The Market Does Not Work... - Views on News from Equitymaster

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The Equitymaster Research Digest

Proof That Timing The Market Does Not Work...
Mar 29, 2016

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Today we complete a month since the Union budget announcement. The benchmark BSE Sensex is up 9% since then. But I bet most investors waiting to time the market have had to content themselves with meagre bank deposit returns. After all, neither the budget nor the follow-up announcements offered any market direction. Timing the market has, therefore, not been tough. Rather, it has been impossible.

At Equitymaster, we are so averse to timing the market that we don't even try. Not that it has hurt the returns of our subscribers. Luckily, ignoring budgets, elections, and Fed rate moves works well for us.

We never wait for an economic, political, or central bank announcement to influence our views on stocks. Instead, we look for business that offer reasonable long-term risk-adjusted returns irrespective of these events.

Our most hectic months are when we're able to give multiple buy recommendations. These happen to be the months when sentiments are at their lowest and markets are confused or panicking over uncertainties.

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