The Next Sector to Outperform is Probably Not the One You're Bullish on Now

May 8, 2020

Apurva Sheth, Editor,Profit Hunter Pro

Covid-19 crisis has taken a toll on several businesses and economies across the world. The Indian stock market too has paid the price for it.

You might paint everything with the same brush if you don't have an eye for detail. All companies aren't suffering from the crisis. Some are doing well.

You can watch my video on the companies which are least affected, or even benefitting from, Coronavirus here.

On the other hand, there are some companies and sectors which are doing worse than others. Take banks for example.

The benchmark NSE Nifty is down about 24% this year. But the Bank Nifty, which tracks some of India's biggest listed banks, is down about 39%.

2020 Performance of Bank Nifty and NSE Nifty

 

Nifty and Bank Nifty were moving in tandem until markets bottomed out on 23 March. The Bank Nifty has underperformed Nifty since then and continues to lag.

On 28 April, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das reduced reverse repo rates to 3.75% from 4%. This was just one among several measures to pump liquidity in to the financial system.

Now it remains to be seen whether these liquidity measures help support economic growth. But it hasn't helped to lift sentiments in banking stocks which are still struggling because of the lockdown.

--- Advertisement ---
Feeling Left Out? 3 Smallcaps Are Set to Rally

If you've been waiting on the sidelines to buy small caps on dips, then chances are you are feeling left out now...

Markets have a way of surprising even seasoned investors.

But our Head of Small Cap Research, Richa Agarwal, believes...

Small cap stocks are set for a massive rally over the coming months and years.

She has a knack for identifying such stocks before they come in the limelight.

And now Richa has spotted 3 such stocks which are set for a potentially massive rally.

She will reveal the details of these 3 stocks on 28th June at her free online summit.

But since there are limited seats, we would recommend you register at the earliest.

Click here to sign-up. It's free
------------------------------

However, I believe all this could change soon. Have a look at this chart now...

Ratio Chart of Bank Nifty to Nifty

 

This is a ratio chart of Bank Nifty to Nifty. Here I have divided the closing prices of Bank Nifty by the closing prices of the Nifty. It shows how Bank Nifty is performing relative to Nifty.

A rising ratio line means Bank Nifty is outperforming Nifty. A falling ratio line means it is underperforming.

It is important to remember that a rising ratio line does not necessarily mean that Bank Nifty is rising and Nifty is falling. It simply means, Bank Nifty is outperforming Nifty. This could also mean that both are falling but Bank Nifty is falling less than Nifty.

Get Details: We are Bullish on These 3 Little-known Stocks

You will notice in the above chart, Bank Nifty was outperforming Nifty since 2013. It held up above the rising red trendline for almost seven years.

Bank Nifty breached this trendline and dropped like a rock in February 2020. Its underperforming Nifty by a wide margin over the last few days.

However, the ratio chart of Bank Nifty to Nifty is reaching long term support levels now. The horizontal green line in the chart above acted as resistance in 2011, 2013, and 2014.

Old resistances often act as supports. The probability of Bank Nifty outperforming Nifty is high. Smart traders can make the best use of such opportunities with pair trades.

You can read how one could have generated gains of Rs 59,250 with pair trading in 10 days here.

Warm regards,


Apurva Sheth
Senior Research Analyst, Fast Profits Report
Equitymaster Agora Research Private Limited (Research Analyst)

PS: Find out about the most exciting tech stock of 2020 here.

Recent Articles

The One Thing on Which We Will Never Compromise June 24, 2021
Why you should immediately sell the junk stocks in your portfolio.
Why I Haven't Recommended Any Adani Group Stock Yet June 23, 2021
What explains my reluctance to recommend Adani group stocks?
A Backdoor Way to Invest in Booming Industries June 22, 2021
The most effective way to participate in the most defensive plays amid disruptive times.
My Blueprint to Create a Fortune from 0.5% of the Stock Market June 21, 2021
This is how to avoid going horribly wrong when picking the next HDFC Bank and Titan.

Equitymaster requests your view! Post a comment on "The Next Sector to Outperform is Probably Not the One You're Bullish on Now". Click here!

2 Responses to "The Next Sector to Outperform is Probably Not the One You're Bullish on Now"

Shikha Rajkumar

May 11, 2020

We are waiting for your viewsandfeedback

Like 

Rajeev

May 11, 2020

I could be missing something. Will it not make any sense to start a pair trading service and / or more detailed guidelines on how to go about it. One has got used to excellent training and other guidelines by Apurva :)

Like 
  
Equitymaster requests your view! Post a comment on "The Next Sector to Outperform is Probably Not the One You're Bullish on Now". Click here!