Indian Media Industry Report - Media Sector Research & Analysis in India - Equitymaster
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Media Sector Analysis Report 

[Key Points | Financial Year '15 | Prospects | Sector Do's and dont's]

  • The Indian media and entertainment industry comprises of print, electronic, radio, internet and outdoor segments. With the government aggressively pushing in for digitization of TV, Multi System Cable Operators (MSOs) are expected to lose 15-20% of their subscribers to DTH (direct-to-home) services. Digitization will facilitate increased number of channels and high quality viewing. India is a fast digitizing market and the consumer shift towards digital services is exhibited through the expansion of digitized households. The completion of the digitization process in Phase I and Phase II cities and the rollout in Phase III and Phase IV cities is seen as a positive step for the industry.
  • The players in the electronic media can be classified into a three-link chain. First are the studios (including the animation studios), which comprise the hardware part of the industry, the second are the content providers and the third link comprises the distribution trolleys, which include the cable and satellite channels, multiplex theatres, MSOs and the DTH players.
  • In India, the ratio of advertising expenditure to GDP is less than 1%. This is substantially lower in comparison to the developed economies as well as other developing economies. Interestingly, Print and TV media contribute over 75% of the advertisement spend in a year. As the Indian economy continues to develop and the media reach increases, the advertising expenditure to GDP ratio is expected to increase over the next 5 years.

How to Research the Media Sector (Key Points)

  • Supply
  • Of the more than 70,000 newspapers printed in India, around 90% are published in Hindi and other vernacular languages. There are over 800 private satellite TV channels, permitted by the Information and Broadcasting Ministry.
  • Demand
  • The demand for regional print media is growing at a faster pace than that of English language print media. In the electronic media, the highly fragmented viewership has led to an increasing preference for niche channels.
  • Barriers to entry
  • In the electronic media, entry barriers are high for broadcasting since it is very capital-intensive. It involves the cost of leasing the transponder, setting up up-linking facilities, setting up pre and post-production facilities. The barriers to entry are far lower for content providers. Besides, broadcasters themselves commission programmes and finance their production. Hence margins are lower. In spite of the high barriers to entry a slew of channels across languages and genres have been launched in the recent past.
  • Bargaining power of suppliers
  • In the print media, it is high for newsprint suppliers. It is medium to low for content providers in the electronic media. Terrestrial broadcasters such as Doordarshan and regional broadcasters such as Sun TV actually commission time slots to content providers.
  • Bargaining power of customers
  • Relatively high in both print and electronic media. The consumer finds a surfeit of players to choose from. Conditional access system (CAS) and DTH services now enable the consumer to choose the channels that he wishes to view; thereby increasing his bargaining power.
  • Competition
  • High in print media, especially in Hindi dailies. The print sector includes listed entities like Jagran Prakashan and HT Media. Regional print media too is seeing increasing competition. Competition is high amongst broadcasters especially for general entertainment channels. The space includes listed entities like Zee TV, TV 18, UTV, NDTV and Sun TV.

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Financial Year '15

  • On the back of a sombre FY14, FY15 proved to be yet another tough year for the media industry. The delay in pick up in economic activity continued to impact advertisement spends. This impacted revenues of media companies as they derive a substantial chunk of their revenues from this segment.
  • In the print space, efforts are being seen towards consolidation of business rather than aggressive expansions. The fall of rupee and its volatility during the year hurt the bottom line of the print media companies as the cost of imported materials saw big swings.
  • The electronic media industry did mature to a considerable extent, especially after the roll-out of digitization Phase I and II. The growth trend for subscription revenues largely depends on the pace of the roll out of Phase III and IV of digitization. The timely roll out of these phases will certainly benefit the industry. While digitization in Phase I and Phase II cities are already completed, the rollout of digitization process in Phase III and Phase IV cities of the country during the year signified a positive development for the industry which is expected to boost subscription revenues in the future. Advertisement revenues for the television industry, on the other side, have continued to grow in line with overall media industry's ad spends with the pace expected to pick up in the future.

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Prospects:

  • The fortunes of the media industry are linked to the growth of the economy. India is set to grow at a rate of at least 6-7% over the long term. Rising incomes in the hands of people encourage them to spend more on discretionary items like media and entertainment. However, the trend is shifting more towards the online medium.
  • The demographic profile of India also favours higher spend on entertainment, with the consuming class forming a sizeable chunk of the country's total households. Thus, this could lead to the emergence of a huge consumer base for the various products and services (including entertainment).
  • New distribution technologies like DTH, Conditional Access System (CAS) and IPTV, hold the future of the media industry as increasing digitization will radically alter the ways in which consumers receive channels. The mandatory digitization all over India will bring in more subscription revenues for the broadcasters as opposed to under reporting of numbers by cable operators at present. Also, continued growth of regional media and growing strength of the filmed entertainment sector will also boost growth of the media industry.
  • The advent of digital platforms will require industry participants to invest in constant innovation in products and services. Thus, going forward, innovation will be the key to attract more consumers and deliver relevant content and services that are profitable too.
  • With metros already being saturated, regional markets provide ample scope for growth in the media sector. In print media, newspapers are being published in vernacular language. In television, newer channels are introduced in local languages. Tier II and Tier III cities and towns are set to drive the Indian consumption story in the next few years. Television will continue to lead the media industry in terms of revenue contribution with 39%, followed by internet access with 28 %. While, the share of print and films are likely to decrease to 15% and 9% in 2017.

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Related Links for Media Sector
Quarterly Results | Sector Quote | Over The Years

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