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Sensex Opens Flat; Metal & IT Stocks Drag
Wed, 4 Jul 09:30 am

Asian share markets are lower today as Japanese and Hong Kong shares fall. The Nikkei 225 is off 0.7% while the Hang Seng is down 1.1%. The Shanghai Composite is trading down by 0.8%. Wall Street dipped on Tuesday, weighed down by Apple, Facebook and other technology stocks.

Back home, India share markets opened the day on a flat note. The BSE Sensex is trading up by 12 points while the NSE Nifty is trading up by 1 point. The BSE Mid Cap index and BSE Small Cap index opened down by 0.4% & 0.1% respectively.

Sectoral indices opened the day on a mixed note with power stocks and healthcare stocks witnessing maximum buying interest. While, metal stocks & IT stocks opened the day in red.

The market is facing a lot of selling pressure.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have taken the lead in dumping stocks.

In 2018 till date, FIIs have pulled out nearly Rs 71 billion from the Indian stocks. Nevertheless, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) have supported the markets so far.

FIIs Pulling Out Money from the Indian Stock Market

The main reason is rising interest rates in the US. This tempts large foreign funds to move their money to the US.

This outflow impacts all emerging markets including India. We are also facing a weak rupee and high crude oil.

In the latest development, the rupee yesterday made a strong comeback against the US currency after taking a hammering yesterday, recouping by a steep 23 paise to end at 68.57 on fresh dollar selling by exporters and corporates.

Heavy intervention by the Reserve Bank along with positive trend in local equity markets largely supported the home currency.

Earlier, extending its bearish stance, the domestic unit resumed lower at 68.91 from the last close of 68.8 at the interbank foreign exchange (forex) market.

It hit a low of 68.97 in early deals moving in sync with the weakening of other currencies in the region and also heavily weighed down by steady capital outflows.

Note that the rupee has been witnessing selling pressure against the US dollar since the start of this calendar year.

What does the fall in rupee mean for the Indian economy?

A depreciation in rupee means importers buying goods and services at a higher rate that earlier. This doesn't bode well for a developing economy that relies heavily on imports.

Also, India imports most of its oil requirements. So, a fall in rupee leads to a consequent rise in the import bill. The depreciation of the rupee will also add to crude oil's rising cost.

On the corporate side, companies who have taken foreign loans from abroad will be impacted. The repayment obligations in terms of principal and interest will rise, leading to a dent in the cash flows and financials.

Further, companies who import a majority of their raw material requirements will get impacted provided they have not hedged their foreign currency exposure.

Looking at the brighter side, rupee depreciation brings a cheer on the exports front.

A depreciating rupee will provide a much-needed cushion to falling exports. However, a falling rupee will not be the only factor to boost exports. There are certain structural issues too which the government needs to address.

Ankit Shah has explained how the depreciation in rupee is linked to foreign investor outflows and forex reserves in one of his editions of Equitymaster Insider. You can read the entire article here (requires subscription).

The rupee is currently trading at 68.69 to the US$.

Moving on to the news from Tata group. As per an article in a leading financial daily, Tata Group is evaluating a proposal to integrate its food and beverage businesses into a single company.

The Mumbai-headquartered group is considering separating the salt and branded lentils businesses of Tata Chemicals Ltd. and folding them into Tata Global Beverages Ltd.

It's also weighing merging Tata Coffee Ltd., which owns coffee plantations and tea gardens, with the beverages company, and entering dairy.

The proposal is part of chairman Natarajan Chandrasekaran's larger strategy to combine related businesses under a single umbrella to increase efficiency and simplify the conglomerate, which includes more than 100 independent operating companies.

In April, the Tata group said it will create a single entity called Tata Aerospace & Defence by merging all allied businesses.

Reportedly, the rationale behind folding food and beverage businesses into a single company is nothing but de-risking.

The group is weighing different options and a final decision hasn't been made about the units that will be merged and into which company. A special task force has been formed and has made presentations to the board of Tata Sons Ltd., the group's holding company.

Tata stocks opened the day on a mixed note with Tata Investment Corporation and Tata Sponge leading the pack of gainers.

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